CCHurricane

Agreed with a 3-6 / 4-8 outcome for metro Boston. Hard pass on StormVista’s 18-24 outcome

Agreed with haves and have nots...but a 300-400% different across eastern MA areas makes me question Storm Vistas output as a whole.

Odd, Pivotal is significantly different along the east coast of MA. I’d wager something is off with Storm Vista if only for the super odd and sharp gradients across multiple locations.

BOX isn't buying the thermals, both NAM and GFS graphics are outputting a heavy dose of "snow" yet it's falling with temps hovering around 32-34. Not sure how well snow growth would be in those conditions, while also considering the significant rain that will fall beforehand. Gotta love their "1-6 inches of snow" range on the Advisory. What could have been with a decent high to our north...

Cape Cod

Chaos. Weekday skiing is in a league of its own.

Current look on Cape Cod. Decent flakes falling.

Wet snow beginning to stick on grassy / ground surfaces down on the Mid-Cape.

Last gasp before some afternoon sunshine... Barnstable, Cape Cod

This is super fluffy snow, can be blown away by just walking. I would say just around an inch here in Barnstable on Cape Cod. The inch or so that fell last night was mostly reduced to a dusting (sublimation?).

Not sure I’ve ever seen ocean effect snow with a south wind... A Christmas Miracle here on Cape Cod continues, with sunshine on the other side of the bridge!

An overnight inch or two, and passing morning flurries. Great day to close out the season @ Loon.

Snowing at a decent clip down on Cape Cod. Large flakes, yet temps are still warm so struggling to accumulate. Temps dropped from 42->35 in the past hour or so.

Unrelated...how did your area down on the Cape fair across the afternoon / evening? Radar look decent enough throughout the day, but I’ve been up chasing the snow on some skis!

First line swinging through Cape Cod with a decent punch.

Surprising to see Logan only recorded / reported 1.3” of additional accumulation from 1PM yesterday until the end of the snows early this morning... Would have for sure thought they added a few additional inches given Radar, temp profile and minimal winds.

Last gasp on the shores of Cape Cod. 4-5 inches of fluff.

Someone’s finally shaking the snow globe down on Cape Cod

Solid 3” here in a downtown Boston

Not sure about the weenie tag...simply making a factual statement. IMBY frustration/depression is popping up all over this board!

00Z Euro initializing with a decent bump NW in precip field and LP pressure.

The Euro surprisingly looks better for southeastern MA... EDIT: annnnnd from 72->78 hours it fell apart.

While leading up to this weekend's storm, the GFS was everyone's favorite punching bag. While it certainly made mistakes as it related to QPF output, it's idea on MSLP positioning was more right than most. To simply disregard it due to some past experience is the opposite of what you should be doing as a forecaster. Take your emotional biases out of the equation, or better yet maintain a log of how your tier model lists have performed from a QPF and MSLP location perspective, and I'm sure you'll see that a change is in order. Best of luck!

In terms of the LP statement, I believe it was the winning model, but wrong on QPF output, which I believe the Euro was most correct with. Will be interesting to see if this holds, or if it was simply a one-off event.

Good points, bottom fourth of snowpack was a pain to shovel. Told the story of our storm, wouldn’t doubt that settled a bit overnight.