Snowshack

Challenging, when we can't even get our own on board.

That 18z GFS solution would be great - nice moderate snowfall followed by cold weather and probably very minimal melting.

45f driving along the LIE in Suffolk. Wasn’t expecting that.

Nice coating in Hauppauge with light snow continuing, hopefully a little appetizer for weekend.

Were you around in October?

We're finishing the year with 9 or 10 months above the already adjusted for warming rolling average - until/unless that changes it makes sense to lean warm.

Nice presentation of the data, thanks for posting. Can't really ask for more than an extended favorable period. Hopefully we cash in.

Upton's AFD at least left the door slightly open for the MJO812 possibility The precipitation could have some banding to the north and west of the low center. This would be heavier precipitation for Friday afternoon into Friday night. Most models have this precipitation offshore but a few models have low pressure overall closer to Long Island, bringing this heavier band of precipitation across eastern portions of the region. If trend closer to coast occurs, snow amounts of a few inches could be seen for most of the region, locally higher possible.

If you look at the anomaly map for that same time it sure looks like a torch.

Surprised to see the ground covered in Wading River with a slushy 1/2” - wasn’t expecting anything out here in eastern Suffolk. 39F with some drizzle now.

The warming trend is pretty clear on that chart though.

Problem is those warm periods are accompanied by wash-outs which make the conditions in the East pretty poor. Can't really see how in a warmer future snowmaking helps a small East coast resort overcome the elevation advantage and proximity to the pac moisture the west has. Last couple years were anomalously bad but Belleayre isnt out-snowmaking Breckenridge.

Hard to imagine NYC under 30 for a winter again. Burlington Vt didn’t even average under 30 degrees this year.

About 1500’ elevation about seven miles from Gore. Indian lake area and north definitely still hanging onto snow better. Shame to see it change.

Could be. Late 90’s I lived in Mt Sinai and worked in Flushing and certainly don’t remember Flushing feeling snowier. But overall BNL’s stats show busts under 10” have become much more common. Can’t see that changing unless the background warming somehow does. Our place in the Adirondacks can’t even hold snowcover through core winter anymore.