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TSG

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Everything posted by TSG

  1. TSG
    Canaan and Timberline have about 1000' of extra elevation over Deep Creek/Wisp which helps a lot when temps are marginal. Those resorts almost always maintain better snowpack.
  2. TSG
    Late season form and we haven't even hit the solstice
  3. TSG
    This is how I feel right now. Not sure which way temps are going to play out the rest of winter, but with this many storms hugging the coast the past few months, it's hard for me to imagine we don't get a flush hit at least once before April.
  4. TSG
    PBP much appreciated. Taking Stormtracker's place this year?
  5. TSG
    What? there absolutely is an effect. Hagerstown is at like 500ft ASL, the Catoctins then top out over 1800ft just to the East. Wolfsville is definitely not benefitting from upslope, but it's not because the terrain isn't high enough. It's because they're only at 1000ft ASL and 1.5 miles East of the highest terrain in the Catoctins. They're sitting in a shadow too. It's not as bad as what Thurmont faces but it's enough to be easily seen on a map (below).
  6. TSG
    How many years have you been doing these now? Damn impressive this year. I thought we were going to blow through your numbers a couple weeks ago but the slowdown does seem imminent.
  7. TSG
    Do we have any fall leaf color experts in here? I'm wondering if the rain from Ophelia can save us from going straight to brown in the drought stricken areas or if this is just a little too late.
  8. TSG

    TS Ophelia

    TSG replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters

    Still at 984 on the latest recon pass. Fresh convection popping up in the western half with a decent amount of lightning. Might get another small drop in pressure before landfall
  9. TSG

    TS Ophelia

    TSG replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters

    the 5-10 miles of cooler SSTs along the coast are not going to have much effect on how strong this is when it lands
  10. TSG

    TS Ophelia

    TSG replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters

    SSTs offshore are well over 80 These two stations are roughly equidistant from the current center, NW and SE respectively. The GS is between those two so temps are likely even higher where the storm is. Frying Pan Shoals is now at 80.1, was at 81.7 just before midnight. https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41013 83.8 at this buoy https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41002
  11. TSG

    TS Ophelia

    TSG replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters

    that's rich after reading your last 10 posts in this thread. The storm is strengthening and it's clearly got tropical characteristics at this point. You've been poo-pooing this like a 5 y/o who needs a nap since yesterday.
  12. TSG

    TS Ophelia

    TSG replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters

    And? that waters been getting churned by TS force winds for hours and hours. What was the temp 24 hrs ago?
  13. TSG

    TS Ophelia

    TSG replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters

    Thanks for confirming how insufferable Gtown grads are
  14. TSG

    TS Ophelia

    TSG replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters

    Glad we finally got this recon pass so all the debs can shut it and crawl back into their miserable little holes
  15. TSG
    Planning to chase this one from the Northern Neck. My parent's have a place on the Rappahanock side in Lancaster County. I'm thinking Reedville will be an exciting place on Saturday.
  16. TSG
    Do you have any visibility into what the equipment spec is? Is it a pyranometer? reference cell?
  17. TSG
    As an engineer in the solar industry, #1 has me breathing heavy
  18. TSG
    some 65+dBZ returns on that cell sitting over I-83
  19. TSG
    I'm convinced they don't check just so they can complain about it later
  20. TSG
    Anyone know of a website where you can get high quality copies of these old hand-drawn pressure and temp maps? Really want to frame one and put it on a wall somewhere
  21. TSG
    Might want to check your measuring equipment. OKV was 86 at 7:15
  22. TSG
    prove it
  23. TSG
    Had some showers come through Albemarle around 11. Real fluffy, high cloud base stuff, felt kind of similar to our "streamers" days after big fronts in the winter
  24. TSG
    From Rockfish Gap looking north around 4:30, this was the tornado warned cell that had just passed through Staunton. Rotation was pretty clear
  25. TSG
    It definitely underperformed south of DC, there's been close to no storms south of 64
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