TSG

It's what we do best. Embrace it.

I'll be amazed (and maybe ready for the sweet kiss of death lol) if I make it to the 2090s. I guess modern/future medicine should make 90+ a more enjoyable existence down the road, but idk if it's something I'd want to experience today

Thinking about how old I'll be for that one was an odd feeling. 52...

I would say yes, but my two viewing locations couldn't have been more different so hard to be sure. 2017 was on the side of a mountain in Eastern TN. This year was on Hope Memorial Bridge in downtown Cleveland. Way more artificial light this time around, but it felt about the same, and the 360 degree sunset effect seemed more pronounced.

Not to be a bummer but anything short of totality just isn't worth making the trip. That 0.3% makes it a completely different experience. I would recommend finding a spot within the path you can drive to without hitting too many major roads.

I saw a rough timeline posted somewhere yesterday, from what I remember: - short term goal is to clear the channel enough for one-way traffic in 3-6 weeks. - Two-way traffic coming a month or more past that once they've pulled the ship back to port - ~6 months for full cleanup of the bridge structure

ahh yeah definitely referencing my experience in VA with that last statement. When I was working on projects in DC they had similar stormwater requirements. Want a great example of horribly written legislation? In DC, 50% of total rooftop solar panel area counts towards the "green area ratio" requirement on new/re-development. A majority of the reason that bill was enacted was to improve the water holding ability of the local landscape. Solar panels definitely do not retain water

Oooo a topic I know well! I'll keep this short, I know it's off topic. The pervious vs impervious debate on solar panels has been happening in many states and the legislation typically falls well short of common sense... like a lot of things these days. My view as an engineer is they shouldn't be considered completely one or the other except for very specific cases. On a typical ground mount installation, the only truly blocked off portions of the ground are where foundations enter the ground/sit. The panels will of course redirect and concentrate rainfall a bit, but you have gaps between every panel where water can drip down to the ground below. Water running across the ground is also not prevented from entering the ground when running under panels. A more useful piece of legislation would take all this into account, but that would require doing more legwork to figure out. And lawmakers are lazy. So we get half-baked decisions like "totally impervious" or "totally pervious" when the truth lies somewhere in-between. Rooftop/garagetop solar won't affect stormwater calcs since they're going on top of already impervious surface.

Depends on how early you book. I did trips to Breckenridge/Keystone/A-Basin 5 years in a row ending in 2020, if I booked my flights with Southwest in like September/early October for Jan/Feb I could usually get a round trip for about $300, sometimes even less. Paid only $160 one year! Lodging and your lift ticket/pass end up being the majority of the cost. Plan on ~$1000-1500 combined for those for a 5ish day ski trip with maybe one break day. Again the earlier you book the better And then food/drink. Add in ~$50/day for rentals if needed. I always flew SW so I could bring my gear for free. So probably ~$2k all-in these days. I did it for about $1500 total usually, but the last time I went out there was end of Feb 2020. Amazing how the world has changed since then!

2014? That's the one I remember from my senior year at JMU. We got ~9" in Harrisonburg, but just 15-20 miles south was bare ground. The N-S gradient was pretty crazy in the valley with that one.

NAM overamped 2+ days out? wow we've never seen that before

Just about 15 miles should do it. Let's get CHO under some dark green/blue. We've been screwed by the last two events!

It's already been somewhat said but completely ignoring the MAJOR geographic differences between the two is bad science/forecasting/discussion. Hoffman's point holds true whether CC is happening or not. This has nothing to do with that topic. Siberia is not North America. Never was, never will be.

We need this emoji as a standard option on here. Who's got access to that?? @stormtracker?

I think my favorite oddball takes are from the people who check in here like once a week and then make "all hope is lost" posts when things don't look the exact same as they did 7 days ago The GFS has me excited. Solid chances are coming and that's all we can ask for rn.

This board gets a little bit more insane every year

So you latched onto a single post from Jan 10th and then ignored the next 2 weeks of pattern discussion. Cool. And you know the people discussing the forecast can only discuss what the models are spitting out, right? Hoffman's post was effectively "if this look holds, this is our best chance in forever". You chose to interpret that as gospel 3 weeks out. You've been in this hobby way too long to expect models to be that accurate...

Try reading it slower. I know it's tough for you

Okay I went back and read... going to disagree pretty strongly with this entire statement. If you thought Feb 5/6 wasn't a long shot when we saw it pop up around the 25th, you weren't paying attention close enough. Numerous posts about how it would be nice to score during our "lull" that week. Here's a few from around then... And what do we see on the 11/12th and beyond the last few GFS runs? Cold air being reestablished with shortwaves sliding across to our south. If the can has been kicked it's like 2 days

Interesting reading this and realizing I have the same gut feeling about that period. I can remember a few unseasonable warmups in DC during that time frame between 2015-2020, some followed by significant cold. It killed most of the cherry blossoms one year when they all popped about 3-4 weeks early and then we had some serious cold a couple weeks later. Tourists were very upset.

In this hobby for interesting weather more than anything else. Snow is nice, but first week of Feb looks fun either way

Not to make an example out of this post, but in my experience the frustrations people have about DCA come from having a pretty significant misunderstanding of the environment there, both man made and natural. I spent 10 summers teaching sailing at the marina off the parkway south of the airport and know it well. Downtown DC, Bolling AFB, the Naval Research Lab, DCA, and oldtown Alexandria all sit in the Potomac's river valley. It's a big bowl thats 75% urban basically at sea level. That's quite a bit different from the environment at BWI (150') or Camp Springs (270'), both of which are on relative high points within their local environment. It's a large part of the reason DCA radiates so poorly. Portions of the sky that are in view at either of those other two airports are replaced with city skyline and the hills across the river in SE, all of which are radiating heat back towards the airport. You really need to have spent some time on that part of the river or in East Potomac Park to get a feel for how low it is down there. EDIT: adding a map for clarity. red line is roughly 50ft

they should measure from Fort Reno Park

Definitely not representative of NW DC, but it's fairly accurate for downtown. I lived in Adams Morgan/Woodley Park for 5 years which is only ~2 miles from the WH, and ~175' in extra elevation. I can remember multiple events where downtown was like 90% white rain and north of Florida Ave had a couple inches of accumulation.