TSG

It's absolutely an answer. What did you want him to say? would "stop crying like a baby" have been better?

Andrews is over 200ft above sea level and isn't surrounded (currently) by 47 degree water. It is also much less urban out there than what's surrounding DCA. Hard disagree.

Lowest dews of the season by far. 40/17

This is exactly how I think these should go. Have a few people lined up from the forum with a topic or two to discuss and maybe we bring in some "guest" speakers from other sub-forums on occasion. Finish it off with a Q+A session, or people can post questions in chat that can then be answered as we go.

There's always two sides to a coin. Arctic sea ice is at it's highest extent since 2015 and is higher than 2007, 2011, and 2012 as well. Snowcover has proven itself about as useful as tarot card reading imo

Ragged?? Looks pretty healthy on visible and lwir to me.

Plenty of thunder and lightning from this cell just north of Charlottesville. Downtown just barely getting grazed to the north.

Late September through October gets my vote.

First band racing North just crossed through Charlottesville. Elsa has arrived!!

Not trying to be "that guy", but your link doesn't mention this being documented before the cicadas emerged. Their original story from June 11th says "in the past 10 days" reports started rolling in. End of May/beginning of June was the cicada peak around DC. They also mention this is now being seen in Ohio, Indiana, and Kentucky... three other states that also have Brood X. Seems suspicious to me.

clean up on aisle tropical, @stormtracker

2014 was an epic summer in my book, last year I taught sailing full time on the Potomac.

77/70 Clouds cleared out for a while, but we have high altitude junk coming in from the SW now which is limiting heating.

Some high clouds, but decent sun making it through. 77/70, up from 73 at 1pm.

We're getting flurries all the way down here in Charlottesville!

Sleet coming down in Charlottesville. 44/12

And Baltimore for comparison

Here's what I found for Raleigh

Just switched over to a snow/rain mix in Charlottesville. 34/33

Great idea here! 38.01842, -78.49898

66/30 at the 1pm update from CHO!! Windows are open, come on in spring

We've got a light glaze on elevated surfaces in Charlottesville. All rain. 31/30

LOL, no you definitely don't, I remember it well. I've been on here every day for weeks. When the trends stopped going in the right direction and models were still all over the place with the mix line I lowered my expectations quite a bit. This may be me seeing things that aren't there, but what I've noticed the past few years with setups where large amounts of sleet/zr are forecast is the 3k NAM tends to do pretty damn well with placing that feature. I think it was the late March 2018 storm where it was honking for sleet to move in much faster than most other guidance and sure enough... DC was forecast for something like 6-8" before the flip and ended up with about 1" of snow and 2" of sleet. On your second point, I do find it pretty amazing. I've argued that our base state isn't what it used to be on here before.

I mean I understand why people are frustrated but there were signs everywhere that this was a marginal setup with big bust potential. We didn't have anything close to model consensus even 24 hrs out.. The 3k NAM was showing pretty much exactly what's happening right now yesterday morning. A little stronger/snowier on the front end thump, but it had mixed sleet/snow already spreading up to NE MD starting a little after sunrise.

The amount of complaining in here is comical. This storm looked like it was headed for Buffalo a week ago y'all. Frozen stuff is falling from the sky. Be happy.