TSG

Cold smoke

Hope I'm not explaining something well understood here... thinking this might not be common knowledge in the SE. You can see sleet vs snow pretty well using the correlation coefficient or diff reflectivity products. Rough sleet line outlines below for SC/GA

Any CHS posters in here? Looks like yall are getting sleet-bombed right now based on radar

Just wanted to stop in and say it's fun watching the show from up here in the mid-atlantic. Historic stuff happening rn

19/1 Never made it above 20 today, forecast was 25. I wasn't expecting to see radar returns popping to my SW towards Roanoke . I have to imagine this is going to be virga this far West?

I can't imagine we're going to hit the 25F forecast in Cville. Barely made it to 20F before the clouds rolled in 30 mins ago

14/-2 Light NW wind has picked up after virtually dead air since 9pm time for bed

What exactly do you imagine the world was like 100 years ago? In 1925 the first TV broadcast was made, quantum physics had already been discovered/proposed, and the first patent for a field-effect transistor was filed. Arguably the most important invention in human history. We had accurate thermometers... jfc

CHO is down 7 degrees in the last 45! Slight southwest breeze here until about 7:45pm 37/32

High temps look to bust about 4 degrees lower than the NWS forecast here in Charlottesville. Made it to 45 at 3pm but it hasn't moved since. Forecast was 49

This is about the same amount of lead time before the 1/6 event that the GFS started to get a clue and hone in on the further south solution. We're obviously looking for a different trend here but good to see

The HRRR is just completely lost with this ULL stuff

Radar looks incredible

Big fluffy flakes coming out of the sky under this I66/Rt50 band. Best I've seen all storm

Correct me if I'm totally off base here, but wasn't the Euro kind of showing that 700mb band setting up across central PA back Friday night/Sat? See the Jan 4 00z run below. And then as a compounding factor, perhaps the precipitation depiction was just not as accurate up that way because of how dry the antecedent airmass was?