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paulythegun

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Everything posted by paulythegun

  1. paulythegun
  2. paulythegun
    Miller A had the hat, but this weekend, it's the other one
  3. paulythegun
  4. paulythegun
  5. paulythegun
    NAVGEM was upgraded (NAVGEM 2.0) in 2020. Model resolution improved from 31km to 19km. Not sure what the bias is, but it's a drastically different model.
  6. paulythegun
    HIYO!
  7. paulythegun
    This made me chuckle:
  8. paulythegun
    6 out of 30 have decent snow. All centered around day 14-16. Therefore, there is a 20% chance of a massive snowstorm in 15 days. Thank you
  9. paulythegun
    LOL. Latest Para-GFS is more suppressed than 12z for next Friday/saturday. Comparison (18z left, 12z right) Here's how that plays out:
  10. paulythegun
    Some slight changes at h5. Southern stream wave digs a bit deeper and the northern stream does the opposite: Weaker storm generally, run to run compared with 00z. Pressure off the coast, Friday 09z: Last night: 1004mb. This run: 1012mb.
  11. paulythegun
    Para-ECMWF trending in the right direction too.
  12. paulythegun
    Why is a person named Blueberryfaygo pretending to be @HotWeatherTake on this forum? I guess it's a wacky bit?
  13. paulythegun
    Ha that makes total sense. What good is blocking if there's no snowpack in Canada yet?
  14. paulythegun
  15. paulythegun
    NAM looking good
  16. paulythegun
    Aside from a few wobbles, pretty consistent
  17. paulythegun
    Comparing yesterday and today's 12z euro. The trailing piece of energy is later. Euro
  18. paulythegun
    That trailing piece of energy hasn't really showed up in since yesterday 12z. Caught up with the main vort and slowed it down yesterday. Gonna be tough to replicate that. 12z yesterday vs 12z today:
  19. paulythegun
    In case anyone still cares, the euro has trended EVEN WEAKER with the sw thursday.
  20. paulythegun
  21. paulythegun
    Started reading this forum again today after DCA surpassed climo snow amounts (BARELY) on eps for 3 straight days. And I haven’t been around much, but I feel like there was more bullying of weenies in the past. mocking them helped create the space for a serious discussion of the upcoming storm threats by experts and hobbyists with smart questions. And it helped the weenies participate with good posts, because they feared being mocked. Anyway! Best not to overthink these things. Meta forum discussions suck. But this still is a smart forum, and a bit of heavy-handed moderation in the substantive topics might not hurt!
  22. paulythegun
  23. paulythegun
  24. paulythegun
    Get that bad euro taste out of your mouth, friends!
  25. paulythegun
    Just measured about 12" on GFS
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