paulythegun

Just checking to see if….oh

god bless the AIs

Next weekend quietly trending toward some VERY cold rain for the city

Lol

Extended range models show a rug late March. I think I'll go stand on it, seems stable

DAS BOOT!

I know, I know, it's an anafront and will end up being a put on, a put on! like the Who said. But the system keeps trending more progressive on GEFS (slight step back at 12z) and that's the trend we want for an overrunning anafront whatever event right? The sun shines...and people forget. The snow packs...as the skier tracks. People forget Forget they're hiding Behind an Anafront. An anafront (it's a put on! it's a put on!)

Seems weird to analyze weather without factoring in temperature trends. But to each his own.

It seems like it hurts people’s feelings that it’s warmer. And that’s why it cant be spoken of... That’s ok. It hurts my feelings too.

For many years, I had hoped that there would be some weird, surprising reason why a warmer earth produces more snow for my back yard. “Jetweirding” producing more high latitude blocking! Late season snowicanes like Sandy (minus the destruction ideally, though I’ll take some beach erosion for a tropical snowstorm in early November)! And honestly, the jury is still out! We still don’t have the data to say. But the last few years have been dispiriting. And the simplest answer is probably the correct one: warmer seas are pushing the thermal boundary inland. Less snow cover in our cold air source regions means less cold air here. The end.

18z: Moved up a few days (instead of drifting out to sea and then retrograding to merge with a cold front). Very sad. I wanted to see what the panel after 384 showed. PAIN

Only 58 inches in Salisbury, MD so you've gotta figure this hits Georgetown pretty hard

*nerd voice* EXTRAPOLATING....EXTRAPOLATING

Bowling Ball Season is upon us! anything is possible when a cut-off low "makes its own cold air!"

Might as well jump! Go ahead and jump!

100% agree on slush. There's a right kind of spring slush where you haven't seen the freezing mark for a few days. It's way better than the freeze/unfreeze/freeze/unfreeze stuff. I went to Timberline the morning of the super bowl. Light rain, 50F at the bottom, felt almost like powder (just a bit slower and more tiring). Every slope was open. Very little ice outside of some shaded, north facing patches. PS: People in the west laugh at this sort of talk

For laughs, still checking on the ECMWF Extended. Here are the last two runs showing March 8th 00z. And...shocker... The March 12th/forward pattern it's been advertising keeps moving forward as we get closer.

Wow. Thread?

I love big hurricanes. I live in dc and I wish my home would be destroyed. Sadly, that’s 50-70 years away.

That’s all because of solar cycles! The earth was uninhabitable 1 billion years ago why are people freaking out about a couple degrees???