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RIC Airport

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  1. RIC Airport
  2. RIC Airport
    Sorry, I overlooked your first question. I believe the model tries to account for what has already fallen. But it's not precise; it's only an estimate, so it's very possible it could be on the low end for your particular location. There will still be a transition to IP, maybe ZR before there is a period of a lull and rain before the back-end snows arrive late afternoon and evening. All of this is location dependent; the farther north you are, the more likely you remain frozen through and through.
  3. RIC Airport
    NAM showed the backend very well.
  4. RIC Airport
    Just checked a sounding, might be in trouble as early as 1am or 2am.
  5. RIC Airport
    00z 3K NAM has RIC at 2.8" at 6am when 850s start to rise above 0.
  6. RIC Airport
  7. RIC Airport
    Agreed, that's what we typically see. A coastal bomb, if it phases far enough south, could still deliver, but more rare.
  8. RIC Airport
    @Conway730518z Euro for this weekend. Only goes out to hour 144, so the storm is still going here, not final snow amounts. But, still encouraging to see this threat.
  9. RIC Airport
    Dews rising rapidly, it's coming. Btw, RIC reached 15°F, no model it it getting that cold.
  10. RIC Airport
    It's hard to separate the current event from next weekend, but I tried to slow this down this period and you can see the hits. Seems to me, the ENS are south of the op.
  11. RIC Airport
    Yes, I will. They are still running, not quit through next weekend yet, maybe another 10 minutes. 12z Euro AI was south.
  12. RIC Airport
    Right, next weekend is still on the table.
  13. RIC Airport
    Dewpoints are in the low single digits. Any precip will cause temperatures to fall below freezing quickly with evaporative cooling. I'm just pointing out that sleet is pretty far east and practically on our doorstep this early, essentially right at the onset, is not a good sign. We want a solid 6-8+ hours of snowfall before any sleet arrives if we want to maximize accumulations. It's early, but obviously sleet doesn't take up as much room as snow, so it won't accumulate as much.
  14. RIC Airport
    Sleet is already being reported in Amelia and SW Chesterfield. Not a good sign.
  15. RIC Airport
    AKQ made some slight adjustments to the numbers, just clarifying the higher amounts north of I-64. If anything snow cover makes it through tomorrow, where there is about a 6 hour window when the surface temps could be above freezing, it'll stick around for a bit.
  16. RIC Airport
    Hopefully it's a sign for possibly maximizing the front end thump.
  17. RIC Airport
    Good luck, think of us down here, share a few pics.
  18. RIC Airport
    Euro still has the weekend storm. Hopefully we can adjust some things at 500mb to produce a better outcome. Plenty of time.
  19. RIC Airport
    I like where we stand here.
  20. RIC Airport
    Time to look ahead to next weekend.
  21. RIC Airport
  22. RIC Airport
    We DO have the RGEM.
  23. RIC Airport
    Meanwhile DCA is looking at an 8-12" event, while we are southern fringed. Happened on 1/3/2022, 1/16/2024.....1/6/2025??
  24. RIC Airport
    I like your optimism, but I'm just reading the room. Every model has the axis of snow well north of us. Every model has us flipping to IP/ZR and rain for a short while. So we get possibly 1-2" of snow, followed by slop that turns into slush, and then we'll be begging for the back end snow to fall in the right places to provide another 1-2"?
  25. RIC Airport
    Been a while since we've been screwed this bad.
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