RIC Airport

Seems like the area between Petersburg, Williamsburg and Newport News is where the best banding is setting up. We’ll see.

Roads are completely covered 2mi SW of the W&M campus. I haven't measured yet, but had to put something outside to remember where the snowboard was.

Plenty of moisture moving east out of SW VA.

Welcome!

Snow has picked up, small flake size though. Sticking is already happening and its become breezy.

There is a reason why there are smaller regional threads in the forum. That's all I will say, but won't discourage others from double tapping if they choose to.

I am in Williamsburg tonight about 2 mi SW of W&M campus and have flurries.

Latest GRAF model I am able to find, @chris624wx, @VARTV. https://x.com/MikeTFox5/status/1877847739980993011

AKQ put out an updated map, a pretty large area where UP to 6" of snow could fall tonight.

Closer view

Thanks, Bob. Appreciate your insights.

Hampton Roads Market TV stations

Richmond market TV station maps.

https://x.com/Daniel_Bonds/status/1877698909721526734?t=Lj-QSKqb4sElkDV9Or4h5A&s=19

That pesky dry air up this way is what they are picking up on. Hopefully it's a bit overdone. From the looks of the radar, you'd think we'd be getting a foot.

They believe mixing could cut down on totals there but still believe up to 2" is possible. Saw the below graphics on WAVY, first explains why southside Hampton Roads is tricky.

Updated map, somewhere between RIC and PHF could hit 6 inches.

Wakefield is saying watches that remained in place around Richmond will likely need to be upgraded to a warning. .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... 945 PM EST Thursday Update... General trend among the 00z model suite, including among the hi-res output, has been a continued upward trend in QPF/snowfall amounts with a slightly more amplified system. There is also better agreement on the potential placement of a narrow band of higher totals in the 4-6" range, generally across the northern tier of the current Winter Storm Warning per the 00z HRRR and NAM. While we will defer the final decision on headline upgrades to the overnight shift, it is looking quite likely that the winter storm watches for wrn Chesterfield, the city of Richmond, and points W will need to be upgraded to a warning for 3-5" of snow. Additionally, at least advisories will almost certainly be needed for a tier or two of counties N of the current watches/warnings, including on the MD Eastern Shore. Higher uncertainty remains over the SE due to mixing/p-type concerns, but will also need at least advisories here as well.

Exactly, it's just an extra tool. ICON hasn't been around long enough to have a reputation and "SEEing" things over the legacy models.

00z GFS was about .10" less in QPF on average for most from the 18z run.

3K NAM was drier overall.

The NAM is also looking great!!!

HRRR seems to be slighty faster as well.

Meanwhile, 00Z HRRR is coming in strong.