vespasian70
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Everything posted by vespasian70
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Yea, the fact that previous runs had the low riding up into PA and now show a sharp right turn indicates the model may be in the middle of course correcting. I'm not sweating the thermals.
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At least ice wasn't an issue. lol
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GFS/GEM against the Euro/Ukie.
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18z GFS has the low move through southern KY and reforms in VA, still the same precip issues here. Normally a perfect track for us.
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Improved over the 12z run.
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ILN went colder for the Thurs event, bumped the up the snowfall too. hmmm ...
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Don't we have the Ukie too?
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I see we had some good luck while I was away. Being just north of the Euro's best snows right now is kind of comforting.
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If the GEM followed the same track as the GFS we would be all snow.
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Yea, I don't know what to make of it. Perfect tracks with mixed precip instead of snow.
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lol
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Yea, that's a perfect track for us. The model messes up precip type big time.
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IBM 'outlier run'.
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Yea, it ain't pretty. I'm not familiar enough with the model to be worried or not.
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Miss your insights, glad to see you here!
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That's the midnight run, I haven't seen the latest.
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I'd say we're in the sweet and sour spot.
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06z FV3 ticks south a bit. A good sign if this model's bias is amped lows.
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Exactly. Which is why I'm only excited with a small 'e'.
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If the models weren't in mayhem mode that Euro run would be epic for us.
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Updates so slow.
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GEFS is south. Go figure.
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We await the good Dr.
