Buffalo Bumble

Incredible setup. Look forward to reading your posts the next couple days.

What’s your elevation?

Sorry to hijak the thread but my daughter just left the Harp to take a run in the snow falling in Boston in hopes of some good vibes to push the Bills over the Dolphins. No bad will towards the Pats intended!

You guys are killing me with these Buffalo posts (I lurk in here b/c you have great long range discussion). Seeing people running through the neighborhood yesterday in shorts and t-shirts with 867” of snow on the ground was quite amusing. Hope you guys bust out of the snow drought soon!

IMO any increase in lake temps due to AGW has a negligible if not totally de minimis affect on lake effect snow totals. The intensity of lake affect snow depends on so many variables. Wind direction in lower and upper levels, wind speed, available moisture and, yes, air/lake water temp differential. I think if this same event happened and the lake temp was 3 degrees warmer because of AGW, maybe somewhere gets one inch more. Negligible. I’m sure there’s a scientific analysis you could run to pin this down but my hunch is the numbers would show little to no effect.

Picked up about 8” here (Chaumont) last night as the Lake Ontario band strengthened and moved through. A calm, moderate snow with cotton ball flakes is falling now as this five day storm draws to a close. Headed home to Buffalo tonight where I’ll be greeted by 3-4 feet of snow in my driveway and along my sidewalks and probably 5’ at the end of the driveway. Woohoo!

This is hard to hear and so tragic.

Been posting on Discord but for posterity’s sake here’s a quick rundown of the event so far from Chaumont, northern Jefferson County…Blizzard conditions quickly developed behind the cold front on Friday. Snow fell throughout the night with frequent wind gusts over 60mph. The blizzard raged all day Saturday, no drop in winds. Snowfall wasn’t heavy here but visibility ranged from zero to less than 1/4 mile. No relief through Christmas Eve night. Winds slightly lessened on Christmas morning as heavy snow moved in (to this point, Lake Ontario wasn’t producing heavy lake effect snow due to pretty extreme wind sheer). On and off heavy snow during Christmas Day, heaviest just south of here on the northern Tug. Winds dropped to 20-40mph by Christmas night. Heavy snow ongoing now as the band shifted north overnight. 24-30” on the ground in protected areas here. On the backend of the storm now but conditions are still intense with the heavy snow and gusty winds. I’ll post some photos later…

Rich, this was epic!! Awesome job!

I’m just on the other side of the border, in Chaumont, NY. I can attest to the blizzard! Not too much snow here, guessing about 8” since yesterday, but visibility has been between 0 and 1/4 mile for going on 30 hours with frequent gusts well over 50mph. Looks like you had the brunt of the snow over there today as winds have been more S/SW.

Absolutely. Just the videos so far are unreal.

Childish I know, but this made me lol. Read it slowly…

If your friend is taking 81, tomorrow might actually be the better day. The lake effect should be “off” both highways as it gets directed into Canada on S/SW winds. Traveling down 81 on Sunday will probably involve driving through a band somewhere, same on the 90 south of BUF. Other option is take 87 to the 90 on Sunday. EDIT: Tomorrow is definitely better for that drive.

About 3” here in the last hour with just one but very impressive thunder snow.

Looks like winds have shifted to SW over the west end of L Erie so I would think a few more hours for a new band to fully form. So around 7pm is my guess.