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ers-wxman1

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by ers-wxman1

  1. Good point there. I’m not the best at reading people through text and social media. It’s often a challenge to communicate with it. Tough to read people this way, maybe I’m more old school. I can be brash and bold but for my line of work I have to be, but for here it’s different...these are not people making decisions to evacuate a coast line or deploy to a disaster where I need to be bold and hit a point home. This is more a hobby.
  2. Very well then I will be leaving the American weather forum.
  3. I was in the drive through picking up an order and answered “sure” quickly as it was my turn in line!! Then I get snarky replies. I meant nothing rude by it!!
  4. Doesn’t exist in here among a handful of people.
  5. Is that right? I’ve given a thorough analysis in here for three days!
  6. Oh hi frost bite how are you, what’s new? Thanks for joining the party. How’s your wet bulb temperature?
  7. Oh did that hit a sensitive spot? Wow there is some under there.
  8. I really am sad for you and empathize with your situation because your abrasive ness is like fire ants under the skin.
  9. You are rude to me with everything! I answered your question with the first explanation!
  10. Warm nose aloft...upper low not cutoff fully, flow aloft coming right off the Atlantic waters. Surface is cold, above the deck is above freezing.
  11. NAM 12k is a decent front end thump 14-19z tomorrow...west of 95 favored areas. Could see 3-5/4-6 esp Loudoun to I-70/15/81 before mixing. DC area perhaps an inch before rain.
  12. Source region of the cold airmass, extent of the cold air, depth of freezing layer, are we drawing from a true arctic airmass, wind direction...how long we hold onto the airmass etc. if we are filtering air from single digit temps with dry dews then cold air hangs in longer etc. this air mass starts around 30, not much room.
  13. Very marginal airmass, shallow, and it retreats quickly. So the maps might show the wedge all the way into Georgia, but knife deep, not much reinforcing cold to the north. Nothing aloft to reinforce the cold. heavy precipitation also has latent heat release which warms the column as well.
  14. This is the 500 low and lift depiction. Noted this in a post earlier. Ideal for us would be a deepening 500 low closing off just to our south and phasing. Above is a progressive low, good forcing but strung out and best lift to our north. Not ideal for a good column.
  15. Not my office anymore, but gut feeling is they’ll be coming down.
  16. That’ll get replaced with a heat advisory after they see the GFS
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