pazzo83

if it's not going to snow, it shouldn't be cold.

yeah it was pretty brutal in our corner of the city - just incessant wind. My daughter was not long for playing at the Janney playground after school lol.

the air traffic through there is completely insane. Needs to be completely re-designed.

edit: 12

Well the Wiz are up 10 on the Bucks if you want to see something actually going well in the District.

I get it - and I agree! But what happens when they wind down NOAA and the NWS? We can't talk about it?

lol we might need some of you to tap back in. My wife is already telling me she wants to cancel all the trips we have planned this year that involve flying (mostly out of DCA).

still windy. stop.

Canada was always gonna win this game - they are pissed off.

flurries in NW DC!

I think I got like 8-9" from this living in Philly.

Anyway the high at my house in NW DC (at about 390') was 36.5F. At DCA (which is at sea level), it was 38F. Right now it's 27F here, and 30F at DCA. Something must be deeply wrong with the measurements at DCA </sarcasm>.

lol you are laughably clueless. It's located in one of the densest and most urbanized areas on the East Coast. Dude thinks the strip of trees on the GW Pkwy should negate the million plus people that live around it.

DCA's temp is perfectly reasonable. It's in the middle of a massive UHI. It should be several degrees warmer than the suburbs in most situations.

probably because - if you assume that the probabilities of all the discrete events of a storm outcome that could occur are approximately uniformly distributed (I get that is probably a stretch), and that there are more discrete events that favor a non-snow outcome vs a snow outcome for us, then the sample space of all possible outcomes are more heavily dominated by non-snow ones. Thus the probability of selecting a non-snow outcome is higher, so if a model is all by itself in predicting one, it's more likely to be correct than a model all by itself predicting a snow-outcome. I realize that there are a ton of assumptions here that are probably not empirically grounded (independent events, etc), but it seems that might be the general logic.