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dseagull

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Everything posted by dseagull

  1. Im routing for you city folks on this one. I've never been to the city with big snow on the ground, and have an opportunity to do some training in New York harbor on Saturday with some coworkers. Would be nice to see the city with a foot of snow blanketing the ground.
  2. Have you moved locations? 14/15 was the most severe-col winter i remember with long duration sub freezing since the 80s. I was doing emergency crawlspace pipe repairs for many of my neighbors. People were driving vehicles all over barnegat bay.
  3. Definitely the beginning of a pattern (at least for this part of the season.) I want to see what happens after the cutter materializes.
  4. Kind of. Depends on the audience. 2001 was one of the first "mass hype busts" of that caliber. It literally created the first local media weather memes, or was at least foreshadowing of memes. More recent busts are different, for a lot of reasons in this strange time we live in. Social media is destroying so much. I think most of us would give up all tech advances to return to yesteryear. Net loss of tech and communication. Net gain in regard to everything else. Im not sure forecasting advancements have lead to more preparedness or even accuracy. ...at least not from the perspective of the general public.
  5. Isnt there an automatic 10 day ban for bringing up that bust? Lol
  6. Won't argue with you on that stance. I share it. ...but I'm definitely interested in seeing how it evolves. Isnt like we have the ability to ignore it either way. What it has done for many areas of daily life already is amazing. Unfortunately, the negatives clearly outweigh the positives when influenced by bad actors.
  7. I'm enthusiastic about verification scores, considering it's recent introduction. Even we wind up with broken hearts due to an AI model win, it's a longterm win for forecasting if it can continue to perform on spacial and temporal regularity. Very interesting to enter the wild west of modern forecasting.
  8. Appreciate it. Looking into updates versus large bias failures for the fun of it.
  9. Do you have any recent examples where most of the globals were focused on fairly similar results simultaneously, yet the "EURO'S tucked bias" you mention was shown to be present?
  10. How many of us? Depends on if there's a mass extinction event among weenies when the models break hearts and minds for the 19th/20th storm. Should probably shut down all rooftops and bridges to be safe.
  11. I know better than to get my hopes up for this one. Always wanted to hunt in a blizzard with the dog. Hmmmm
  12. Nothing needs fo be true. It's 2025. Clicks. And the audience is too brain-F'd to even look at past results. We live in a world where sensationalism officially sells more than sex. It's bizarre. It's also sad... but recognizable
  13. And yet it still draws in millions of clicks and views, no matter the topic/truth/scenario. Our society has both a social media and sensationalism addiction. Many people seem to thrive off of "extremes" and drama. No wonder we are such an easily manipulated and controlable species.
  14. Another phenomenal morning of bird hunting. About 5-6 inches of compacted wet snow.
  15. Time to get ready for hunting. Not sure of totals here yet, as I'm dragging azz after walking 15 miles in muck boots hunting yesterday. I will say this... eyeballing out the window, it looks to be close to 6 inches here on barnegat bay.
  16. Ill try to push it up north for you city folk. Almost at the 3 inch mark, which is perfect for hunting. Roads caved big time with my scanner starting to go nuts with accidents in several local PD jurisdictions. I don't need a sketchy early morning commute back west when hunting.
  17. Got my walk in. About a mile in, i said to myself, "it feels a lot colder than 31 right now!" Kept on walking and then did some measurements. 2.5-2.7 OTG on non-pavement. As I'm getting back to my house, I'm literally freezing my dik off and thinking I may be coming down with a chill and a bug. After all, "LibertyBell" told me that I may get the bird flu while hunting. I walked inside to dry the dog off and realized my fly was down. Good old white trash Air Conditioning! Enjoy whatever snow falls y'all. Time to get a shower and zonk out. Time to fold some wings tomorrow!
  18. If these rates held til 5AM, I think parts of coastal Ocean County will have a chance at topping 6, mayyybe 7 ...but i believe the banding with heaviest rates is going to be between Atlantic City and Stone Harbor.
  19. About .5-1 on barnegat bay. Decent rates considering returns. Streets are caving finally. Should be a fun morning hunt, and roads will be manageable at 630AM. Taking a walk with the hunting beast after i clean up my mess from steak and lobster dinner.
  20. Im declaring a new p-type with this report. 35.4F 28.5 DP 67 RH ... sporadic "pixie graupel" Central Barnegat Bay
  21. Best spots down my way for true winter perch and not the spring breeder runs are along the mullica river and bass river. Takes some poking around. Grass shrimp for the win.
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