dseagull

Was an experience. I had 4-6 foot drifts along the entire bay where I live. Very difficult storm to gauge an accurate snow total. I gave up on my 3 boards as soon as we had sustained 35 knot wind. Sorry for the hijack and glasses raised to another system like that.

That was that storm I believe 4 hours from completion.

Way back in 2011 or 2012, or 2013 they were. I should know, but haven't had them pop up on my ais system for quite a few years. (Time flies) I may have cancelled them on my vessel's ais recieving signals to avoid clutter though. Sorry, I'll take a look.

One of my favorite storms on barnegat bay. Had 3" an hour on the bay for 2 hours under deform band... 18.9 inches storm total. 8.5 miles inland at my deer stand had 8.1 inches. We had verified gusts to 71mph at several nearby stations. I lost mine to my patio furniture.

1330 Barnegat, NJ. 36.8/24 Snuck in a 3 hour trail hike with the dog. I did 4.81 miles on the trail and his GPS collar clocked 26.31 miles. (Amazing how much ground they cover no matter the conditions) We started before daybreak at 0640 when it was 14.2/4. These cutters are frustrating on many levels. I still have my fingers crossed for this weekend's storm. Subtle hunts that this will be an interesting system to follow. I'd much rather have a classic Miller B to follow. I believe the winds on this current storm are far overdone, as the transfer is not a classic signature for my region around LBI. (I do love me a banana high setup for next weekend though. )

Another miss would be brutal. We are clocking a fairly sustained period of cold, despite some hiccups. Temps will not be an issue with next weekend, that's looking obvious.

Looks like it does. Lots of incredibly cold solutions for the time frame. Hope we arent devastated twice in one week.

That's some pure-blood snow-loving emotion right there. I feel ya. But you will over perform. Enjoy the dynamics. Heavy wind storm incoming

Hey, at least the H placement depicted in most scenarios will yield a heck of a windstorm with the gradient. Not a long duration storm though, so not a true Miller A Nor'Easter.

Appreciate the feedback. I know that physical sampling is less important now, with the reliability and scoring of satellite sampling, but I still hear my old man's voice saying, "look at where the energy came ashore and follow that line of latitude..." That notion deserves about the same level of merit as "red sky in the morning...," but fundamentals seem to be coming together with this storm. Going to be a monster, regardless. Wish we had a true block in place, and confluence set-up from the ocean storm.

Such a strange track, that I'm having a hard time believing the evolution of this system. I'd welcome the windshield wiper effect at this point. Do we end up with an inland Appalachian solution? Lots to reflect on with hard 180 model sways. Should be fun.

Now you've gone and done it... lock in the slider.

High pressure wayyyy off to Eastern north Atlantic. Wow.

Is it safe to assume that the models overdid the blocking pattern that we were looking at 36-48 hours ago? The SW that we orginally had our eyes on is diving 24-30 hours later than what we anticipated. Ocean storm must have been (still is) the wild card.

The ocean storm and lack of confluence are the primary drivers of this scenario, correct? Could a faster and deeper SW bring this storm further off the coast? I'm trying to digest and learn exactly how we went from squashed storm suppression to inland runner over 12 hours yesterday. This wasnt a sampling issue.

Incredibly interesting to watch most models, besides the GFS make a 180 from suppression to Rain for I95 east, in just 12 hours. Kind of raises some red flags. When will the energy from the S/W be over land and sampled? Tomorrow night?

I'm having a difficult time believing the eastern seaboard from ACY to Central FL has similar temperatures at this hour. It is only the middle of January, but I don't recall seeing these numbers verify too often with this setup.

Thank you. I feel old... those vehicles...ah, I miss simpler times.

Hovering at 32.8 on Barnegat Bay. Front yard still has a sad layer of 1-2 inches, but this was the snow pack that just couldn't hold on. If you have a crazy hunting dog, the snow is a wonderful thing if you want a clean dog and house. If you have mud instead of snow, life is miserable trying to keep things clean. Bring the freeze on!

Must be a first...getting ignored in a banter thread. Sorry to trigger you. I only post when offering OBS from Barnegat Bay ttpicallty, a location that is very relevant for the MA threads... go easy, guy. While clamming on the blowout low tide today, the surface water temp was 33.7 predawn and warmed to 35.1 at 1300. The flood tide brought in water to 42.7 and sxhoolie stripers are still running out front. Point being, the nearshore ocean temps have dropped 2.5 degrees in 5 days up here, despite some eddies being washed into the nearshore. An amazing amount of warmth to work with still off the delmarva. Fun times in this pattern. Have a good one.

Spent many an hour staring at TWC, longgggg before it succumbed to the scourge of BS that is modern TV. Hold onto those memories. Nostalgia is a wonderful thing, even if it means a power mullet, 80s stash, and awkward TV persona! Good times indeed.

2009 and 2010 delivered those sharp upticks in guidance that satisfy the inner weenie even in old timers. Call it nostalgia, but those were the systems that reminded me of somewhat elicited surprise in the 80s and 90s, because that was what we had to work with, model wise. I'd go back to the days without smart phones and reliable internet in a second. The element of surprise and lack of communication was a beautiful thing. ...memories are a wonderful thing.

Amen. My first memorable storm and the year I became a merchant mariner.

Hey, if we close for a sniffle, we shall close for a whiffle...lmao...Poor kids

Word for word what I was thinking while reading through this thread.