tnweathernut

I will note this storm underperformed in a lot of areas in TN, even though most in the state saw at least an inch of snow. Impressive because of the amount of land blanketed by snow in TN, KY, MS, AL, GA and VA. Widespread yes! Mid-south mauler, no. Which model was the best from 3-4 days out? I’d say the regular Euro.

You ended up doing better than me.. lol. I came in just a hair under 2 at 1.75” It’s my personal opinion, but I think the dryslot was enhanced by downsloping winds, at least down this way and across a part of the TRI region. We got issues, but fortunately the Eastman’s bubble isn’t one of them……... lol

Where is @Hurricane? Looks to be ripping down his way. Hopefully he is able to enjoy it before any dry air works in.

Probably a letdown because it was being built up for much more. Getting 2.5" of snow in middle Tennessee, south of Nashville is pretty good. Go find Cantore and blame that rascal.

Point and click took me down to 1-2". Probably means Hurricane is looking for his bathing suit. lol

I know. I'm still working on trying to get to a half inch...... lol

Looks like flakes are falling above 2500, ceilings are definitely lowering.

Very "sciency". I like it.

The RAP is only one letter off from CRAP. Just putting that out there. Latest run has 1 inch of snow over @Carvers Gapalready. Guessing his ground is bare.

Hang in there Bearman, praying for a smooth procedure and recovery! How did the northeast TN foothill guys go to bed finally gaining the NAM and then wake up to not only a downslope message, but a mountain wave event with 45 mph south winds predicted? lol

Good to see you back, @PowellVolz!

What I take from it is the NAM is no longer on an island on its own. It has support from the HRRR - obviously not HRRRs wheelhouse here, but no warm and fuzzies from it.

Finger = Foothills. Wretched little devil……..

Just look for Jeff’s map a little ways back. Find the “finger”. lol

I hope the clouds can shoot better than Tennessee shot against Florida a couple of nights ago. Watching that game felt a lot like sitting at 46 degrees under sprinkles and knowing 8 miles to your northwest it's ripping fatties and 31 degrees.

I'm talking about synoptic storms, not upslope events. My house doesn't do upslope as well as the true foothill guys, but my office does. My house only excels with the downslope and dryslots. lol

I've noticed that the last several years. Would make for an interesting case study. I was telling @Carvers Gapit's not like the mountains haven't been there the whole time. lol

When was the last time it snowed more than 3 inches in Memphis, Union City, Gallatin, Fayetteville, Chattanooga, and Bristol (southwest, northwest, north central, south central, southeast, and northeast) from a single storm? Some modeling suggests this system has a chance to pull it off. I'd think it happened last back in the 80s and I'd think it is a very rare occurrence.

I get it. Our snow holes seem to be related. lol

Those downslope holes are still around 2 inches, FWIW.

https://www.colgate.edu/about/campus-facilities/webcams-around-colgate/seven-oaks-webcam yep

12z RGEM ticked up in total QPF for most along I-40 that run. looks like it added about a tenth, no mixing issues. Nice mid-south snow 3-5" (pockets of 6) across the state, verbatim

When I went to high school in Sumner County we had a smoking section outside for the kids and teachers. Times have changed. lol

Kind of like the school system in middle TN sending texts to parents yesterday telling them to have a ride prepared for their children Friday, they were going to attempt to start school. Why? From the first 10 minutes of flakes you are certain to have road problems and the start time has been well modeled between 8-10 am for the last 48 hours now. Hopefully they backtrack and don’t meet at all tomorrow in northern middle TN. If they do I’d question the sanity of the people making these high level decisions.

Looked like that was Miller B’ish. Took lower pressures into middle TN and wrecked the thermals. No other model has been doing that. They’ve all been taking a consolidated low on a great track under us.