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ariof

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Everything posted by ariof

  1. ariof
    Just don't look at the 18Z GFS
  2. ariof
    Yeah, snow shield is south, low placement is SE.
  3. ariof
    NAM quite a ways south at 72h
  4. ariof
    Plus terrain enhancement, could push 30" along the Wapack Trail
  5. ariof
    You know a jucy lucy is a hamburger in Minnesota … https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jucy_Lucy … not a
  6. ariof
    XC skiing in Weston under flood lights this evening as the heavier bands moved through was magical. Still, big dendrites, a couple of inches in about an hour.
  7. ariof
    -SN but steady and calm in Cambridge. Started about 10m ago.
  8. ariof
    -32 at KMSP is pushing into record territory there.
  9. ariof
    I guess the Berks aren't SNE? Foot of depth >2000'.
  10. ariof
    +TSRA in Boston. Meanwhile >1000' it certainly seems to be snowing. (Webcams from Berkshire East and elsewhere confirm)
  11. ariof
    Deep Morch
  12. ariof
    78h locations of low pressure: ECMWF: 993 over PSM GGEM: 988 over ALB RGEM: 987 over ALB GFS: 992 over YQM GFS v16: 989 over PSM NAM: 991 over BID
  13. ariof
    At least the ground should remain frozen so we don't lose the first few inches of anything that does fall.
  14. ariof
    12/31 was 45˚ at KBOS, and 42˚ several more days … but yes, very stable. From what I can tell, the 18˚ temp range at KBOS is the lowest such range for the first 11 days of Jan on record. And not likely to change much soon, either.
  15. ariof
    Kind of impressive: the Charles is iced over east of the Longfellow, despite the temperature at BOS not having fallen below 24 this month
  16. ariof
    Ehh I'll sell that. Dec '14 was ugly and that extended to Jan 5. But Jan 8 had a low of -1 and a -20 anomaly. The only real melt beyond that was a 18h period (if memory serves me) which was a pretty good ZR event up north. None of this San Diego-but-colder weather.
  17. ariof
    A bit on the stability of the current pattern. Since 1/1 at KBOS: hi 42, low 24, range: 18 Previous lowest range: 23. Average 40, max 60, stdev 10. So this is the most anomalous year (since KBOS kept records) in either direction. Overall min/max -4/74. The kind of crazy thing is that … it is going to stay just as stable for the next week per most modeling.
  18. ariof
    What a snooze fest for the next week. For KBOS GFS has the temperature staying in a 14˚ range (average daily range) although MOS a bit higher. 1000-500 ranges between 533 and 540. No precip. Light winds. Would have been lovely weather to have a nice two-foot snowpack, but, alas, that ship sailed on Christmas Eve.
  19. ariof
    30"+ death band over NH. I'd buy on that.
  20. ariof
    16 at KBOS last night. By far the coldest night of the year. A hell of a lot better than the last storm, where the day before was in the upper 50s!
  21. ariof
    I ran around Pleasant Bay the other day when they were landing on one of the 4s. Usually there's an aircraft landing above you every 90 seconds or so on that vector (if the ceilings are at the right level, they appear out of the ether). In the mile and a half around the bay, which took me about 12 minutes, I saw one DL 757. That's it.
  22. ariof
    I ran around Pleasant Bay the other day when they were landing on one of the 4s. Usually there's an aircraft landing above you every 90 seconds or so on that vector (if the ceilings are at the right level, they appear out of the ether). In the mile and a half around the bay, which took me about 12 minutes, I saw one DL 757. That's it.
  23. ariof
    Shift that north 50-100 mi and don't waste the snow on fish who won't appreciate it and I'll be a happy camper.
  24. ariof
    Congrats ACK.
  25. ariof
    Wouldn't complain, but mostly congrats BGM.
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