blizzard1024
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Like we really knew what the climate was like in 1850, especially over the oceans. Plus the UHI is much more prominent than what is accounted for. Also the 1800s if you believe this data was at the end of the Little Ice age. The temperatures in this graph are dubious. We have not been warming straight up. This dataset is biased and false. So this IMO is climate propaganda. CO2 never was the Earth's thermostat in the ice core data. This is basic physics. Physics just didn't change in the mid 1900s. Also the more CO2 we add, the less influence it has. Climate science really is ruining the credible of all scientists.....
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If you look at the daily global temperature anomalies from University of Maine Climate Change Institute.https://climatereanalyzer.org/wx/DailySummary/#t2anom you will see that the daily mean global average temperature from the GFS initialzation is very close to normal for the colder 1979-2000 CFSR baseline mean. Today's is below a whopping 0.1C above the 1979-2000 baseline. This dataset has been averaging very close to .1C to .2C above the 1979-2000 for the past several months similar to UHI. The CDAS daily temperature is a 0.166C above the 1981-2010 baseline. see below So there really isn't anything too unusual going on. Its weather which can be extreme at times. It has always been that way.
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There is another global cloud satellite datasets from the from 1982-2019. The source is https://www.eumetsat.int/about-us/satellite-application-facilities-safs This dataset like the https://isccp.giss.nasa.gov/index.html dataset shows that as global cloud cover goes up, temperatures go down and vice versa. This suggests its global cover in part modulating the global average temperature. But one can argue from this dataset that as we warmed dramatically from the super El Nino in 1998, cloud cover decreased to a new lower level. But it has remained steady since the early 2000s with slight warming. Clearly global cover is about 2 percent lower now than in the 1980s which equates to 2% decrease in albedo. If there was a significant positive feedback we would see temperatures taking off and we are not. see
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Its getting even colder vs the 1979-2000 normal. The Arctic for the first time in many many years is at +0.0C in the winter months. There is a warm blob over the Arctic Ocean but this is unknown territory given it is model data and model climo. Given the Arctic is normal the assertion that Arctic warming is leading to record cold in Europe/Asia and north America is false. These ideas already have been floated around. They are not true. Look at the data... This site has the reanalysis data with a daily temperature of minus .172C the coldest I have seen in many many years. Of course we all know this is very short term climate and not reflective of long term trends. It does illustrate how much ENSO does affect the global temperature. The mean period for the graph I believe is 1994-2013 and the reanalyzer data is 1979-2000. So relatively to late 20th century and into early 21st century, significant cooling has taken place in a matter of months. Should this La Nina persist, it would be interesting to see if we get back to a negative departure vs 1981-2010 normal or even the 1979-2000 period below.
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Global temperature are plummeting due to the strong La Nina. In many parts of the world, record cold is occuring. The Thames River has froze in parts for the first time in 60 years. The UK had its coldest February day since 1955. This is short term climatic cooling I realize but now we are seeing below average anomalies for the first time in many many years. Look at Climate Reanalyzer image for today and the CDAS for 00z last evening both negative. These both show the strong influences of La Nina and the solar minimum on the climate. If this continues 2021 will no doubt be much colder than 2020 and probably begin a downward trend in global temperatures. Of course, El Nino can easily reverse that. So in many ways most of the warming and cooling patterns go along with ENSO.
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What is interesting is despite the record low areal coverage for sea ice so late in the fall is that cold air masses still originate over the land. In fact, that is always the case. North America is seeing some extraordinary cold and snow cover for so early in the fall season despite the very low sea ice. The Islands of northern Canada and the Arctic waters just north of Canada and Greenland are much deeper than the shallower waters on the Siberian side. Therefore it's going to take a lot more warming to get rid of this ice on a seasonal basis. Plus there is NO albedo effect this time of year up there. The Sun is down. Even in the summer, it depends on storminess and how much cloud cover you have to decrease the albedo for a positive feedback. I don't understand how a climate model that can't explicitly predict cloud cover can forecast with any accuracy the positive feedback from the loss of sea ice. Open water many times leads to low clouds and fog up in the Arctic and no change in albedo. This has happened in many low sea ice years. Once climate or any atmospheric model can simulate clouds with accuracy then the results will be more convincing. Right now it still gets very cold over the land regardless of sea ice concentration. It is incredible how cold it has been in the Plains. -27F in Montana a few days ago. Records being broke by more than 10 degrees. Temperatures up to 50 degrees below normal! Snow in Texas in October! This stuff barely makes the news. Tremendous bias. If it was 50 degrees above normal the media and many of you would be going nuts blaming climate change. When it is cold, it is just weather. When it is warm it is climate change!
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
blizzard1024 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Yeah and this stuff is bad too. So now let's add wind turbines into the mix for more killing.... -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
blizzard1024 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Do you think that energy companies are going to spend money on this? I have heard about it but many companies are not going to use this unless it is mandated. It also has to be effective,. When they shut down the turbines they lose money. So you think they want to do this? No way. They want profit and money like all energy companies. Just because they are "green" doesn't mean they don't operate with the same business model as the oil companies. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
blizzard1024 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
And kills the thousands upon thousands of sea birds too and we will have no way of detecting their demise. Yeah that is going to be a disaster for our seabirds. Again the biggest threat to our birds today is wind farms. Cats, cars, tall buildings, windows, TV and radio towers, electrical lines, pesticides have been around for a while and yes they have taken their toll. So now we can add another one too, wind farms, all in the name of protecting the environment or "saving the Earth"? Come on, Man! This is total insanity. How do you think we get plastics and pavement and other oil derivatives for modern life? If we stop fossil fuels before it is times, it will lead to a dark time in human history. Unemployment, higher energy costs, (look at the craziness in Germany), which will hurt american businesses and people ultimately. whose going to pay for all this? you and I. Higher prices for everything. Less jobs too. It will be a disaster. look at the craziness in California with the brown outs? They need more fossil fuels, natural gas which burns cleaner. anyway, you guys can continue your renewable fantasy. I hope it remains that way and doesn't come true. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
blizzard1024 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
This is not true. Explain the mechanisms that cause birds to do worse under a little warm conditions? That makes no sense. During cool and wet summers, especially in the Arctic, shorebird species have poor nesting success. the milder summers they produce a lot of young. North American was warmer 6000 to 8000 years ago especially the Arctic regions and these birds survived. The fact that this period exists suggests strongly our avifauna can survive warmer temperatures. Audubon and American Bird Conservancy and Nat Geo are looking for donations. They are disingenuous. I always take everything they say with a grain of salt. Even research in this area is poorly funded so there has to be a problem to get money. They is no way that climate change (unless it is cooling) causes any major problems for our birds. The Cardinal for instance used to be a southern bird, very rare north of Maryland. Now it is flourishing up to Canada and its population is doing very well in the south where it has warmed some. This is all BS and an excuse. Wind power is a huge threat to our migratory bird species. Not climate change. Come on man! to quote Joe Biden. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
blizzard1024 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
They kill birds and bats and destroy natural habitat. Do you want a bunch of wind turbines around where you live? Peaceful countryside pristine forests and mountains now covered in wind turbines all over. it's disgusting. And they get a free pass because they are "green" and "good" for the environment. This form of energy is the biggest threat to our birds and bats with a projected 4X increase up until 2050. Eagles are killed by these monstrosities. I fear the continued population declines of so many birds will be hastened by this ill conceived transition that is very inefficient. Its the biggest threat in the coming decades by so-called environmentally conscious people. You folks have been fooled. Somebody is going to make a LOT of money and continue to destroy the environment. Yeah what's not too love? /sarc -
Phoenix Records its Hottest Summer on Record
blizzard1024 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
well as the once great Sam Kinison said "you live in a desert, nothing grows here, nothing gonna grow here..." why do people live in desert areas like the west? This is not climate change this is natural variability. It tends to be dry on average out west, some years or even decades are drier than others. So now people are realizing that "hey, it's too dry here" I better move." Also building your house on the beach is never a good proposition.... you can't blame climate change on that.