alex

For the crappy pattern, beautiful snow day today! Another inch or so in the past few hours

Ah! Yes. I don’t doubt upper 40s to low 50s in my location. Hard to achieve down in the valleys, but not at all unusual in cutters up here

You think it will be 70 degrees in the Whites and the Greens?

And with the usual caveat. We all know how well 5 day forecasts pan out.

I wasn’t doubting that. But the post said 60+. I don’t doubt at all 40 and rain. I do doubt 60+

60+? When would that be for? The highest temperature in our current forecast period is 37 on Saturday...

Snow has picked up again

1.9”

Eh. It is what it is. Doesn’t take 12” to make things pretty. In fact sometimes trees caked in 2” can look better than 12” of dry powder that doesn’t stick to things

1.3” so far here. Very pretty sticky stuff

Snowing

Raining below 2000 ft here. Snow above. Light

I'm in!

Would not be a bad week if this verified: Tonight Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Saturday Snow likely, mainly after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 32. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Saturday Night Snow. Low around 21. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Sunday A 50 percent chance of snow before 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 25. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Sunday Night A 30 percent chance of snow after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8. Monday Snow likely, mainly after 7am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 24. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Monday Night A chance of snow before 7pm, then a chance of snow showers after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 17. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Tuesday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 27. Tuesday Night Snow likely, mainly after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 18. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Wednesday Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 24. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Wednesday Night A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8. Blustery. Thursday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 16. Thursday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8. Friday A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 33.

I had never thought about it that way... brilliant! So true.

I will make sure to post observations every 90 seconds or so. Agree. Nobody cares but it's better than rain, and it fits our "nickel and dime" climo

Lol I just made a similar comment on the train wreck thread for the weekend threat. People somehow talk like NNE has been having a banner year while I think relative to average SNE has been doing much better.

Why are people saying that NNE has done well so far? I'm pretty sure we are running average if not slightly below, while SNE has had a huge month. All relative to climo of course but this does not strike me as a great winter so far up here.

So true! And if it does, there will be more chances shortly thereafter.

While everyone is busy jumping off bridges, perhaps we can look at the lesson here - which is what I was trying to say earlier this morning when everyone was so ecstatic about one or two runs of the Euro that they convinced themselves that Euro is king and GFS sucks, and if Euro says it's going to snow, of course it's going to happen and this was one for SNE not NNE - forgetting that 12 hours earlier, the Euro said we were in the bullseye. It's hard to keep emotions out of the forecast for us weather enthusiasts. One algorithm spits out a few inches of snow and all of the sudden that's DEFINITELY what's going to happen; someone even said "Euro has been steadfast with this" when if you look back it's bounced more than Pam Anderson in an old episode of BayWatch (I know, dating myself). Then they get worked up because PF, JSping and I "steal people's snow" when in reality, we know it's Diane that does it. And in reality, this is NBD for anyone but if anyone is going to get something, of course chances are it's more likely to happen in NNE than SNE, simply because of climatology - just like a lot more things need to go right for it to snow in DC than SNE. Point is... we all need to chill. OK, done with my useless assessment, back to watching this new episode of bridge-jumping on my favorite channel, AmWx.

Climatology is a bitch

And the weenies are all "oh yeah and it's definitely happening because the models have been so steady with this"

It seems to me if any model has been holding on to the same idea is the GFS. Not saying it's right, but the Euro had like a foot of snow for us 12 hours ago, down to nothing. GFS had 4-5" and still does. I know everyone like to think the model that's right is the one that gives them snow - including myself, but objectively it seems like the Euro has been screwing up just as much as any other model lately

Winding down after another 0.7", making it 1.1" for the day.

Really, you could get rid of storms and give me a moist NW flow all winter and I'd be just fine! Another half inch tonight, stake up to 10"