The 00z NAM 24-27 hour significant tornado parameter jumps way up in western-southern Oklahoma with the low-level jet. The higher STP values really shouldn't be confined to southern Oklahoma there. The 00z HRRR finally decides to put out dozens of storms in the warm sector! (Helping to confirm that the SPC is generally right). Other CAMs tonight keep a lot of the capping with not too many storms. I still don't believe those too much. I think the SPC will be right, with big hatched areas for tornadoes, wind, and hail (see the SPC's moderate risk discussion)
this is the 18z NAM (12km) for west of Oklahoma City tomorrow