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Everything posted by Chinook
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Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 8
Chinook replied to wxmx's topic in Central/Western States
In Torreon Mexico, a desert area, it snowed at 34 degrees this morning. METAR: MMTC 081040Z 35004KT 1SM -SN OVC005 01/00 A3027 RMK 8/7// RTS -
JTWC forecast calls for Tropical Storm Saola to become a borderline 65 kt Category 1 cyclone southwest of Tokyo and then miss Tokyo by a little bit. The GFS and Euro later have this cyclone merging with baroclinic energy to create **another** huge low pressure near the Kamchatka Peninsula. Perhaps so much energy in the Pacific will send some more interesting downstream troughs and ridges our way.
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According to JTWC, Tyhoon Lan peaked at 135 last night (daytime for that area of the world), which is ever so close to category-5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
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Hi! In the mid-range, this storm could be near Tokyo (see the JTWC forecast.) In the long range, this powerful storm now looks to recurve more east of Japan, rather than heading more north towards the mid-Bering Sea.
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Developing Tropical Storm Lam in the Pacific could make for some dangerous situations in Japan, and some interesting satellite images as it tracks northwards and merges with the westerlies, after being 130 kt. (Category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale.) It's kind of amazing this could go from 10 degrees North to the Bering Sea or nearby.
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W. Pac is at 54% of normal ACE, with some above normal SSTs in the basin. What killed the W. Pac tropical season?
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Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 8
Chinook replied to wxmx's topic in Central/Western States
Texas/New Mexico may get a bit of rain -
Typhoon Talim, now west of Okinawa and northeast of Taiwan, has been rated at 115 kt (Category 4 starts at 113kt) by the JTWC. It is heading for landfall in southern Japan soon with a wind of 100-110 kt. The storm should track over a considerable section of Japan. JTWC discussion mentions that it likely peaked at 127 kt a few hrs ago.
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Those are some really good pics. Thanks for sharing. I don't think I'll see much unless the auroral oval gets to Montana. Doesn't seem to be happening.
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The August 21, 2017 Great American Eclipse
Chinook replied to ice1972's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The sky looked mostly dark in Wyoming, and I could see Venus overhead. As you can see here, the trees look black in this picture because there was zero radiation directly on the trees. We had totally clear skies, and I saw the diamond ring quite well. I saw a bit of the shadow snakes on a white sheet. I was amazed that the shadow snakes worked. Some of these places in Wyoming may have seen more traffic than they have seen in human history. People said it took 6 hrs to go from Casper to Fort Collins, coming home. I did not get jammed up on I-25 for very long. I took a detour to Laramie and then to Fort Collins. I still hit an eclipse traffic jam north of Laramie, on normally empty Highway 287. I did get heavy traffic on I-25 at 5:00 AM. That was so weird. eclipse in a box -
Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 8
Chinook replied to wxmx's topic in Central/Western States
60-day percent of normal precipitation and drought monitor for possible landfall areas, show a minor drought near Corpus Christi, but above normal precipitation around Houston. -
Typhoon Hato intensified from 45 kt to 90 kt in a relatively short time (JTWC analysis) . Here is the typhoon on Aug 22 at 22:30z (which was morning for this part of the world). Hong Kong is just north of the eyewall. Macau is north of the eyewall. On the HWRF map you can see Hong Kong getting the tip of the 64 kt winds.
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Phil Klotzbach tweeted this: After 14.25 days as a typhoon, #Noru has finally weakened to a tropical storm. It is 2nd longest-lived NW Pac typhoon on record (since 1950)
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Typhoon Noru has been a named storm since 7/21/12z. It has 31 ACE units, the most in the year thus far, beating out Hurricane Fernanda. It has the highest intensity (Cat. 5, briefly 140 kt) and highest ACE of any storm in the northern Hemisphere this year. I believe it has been the strongest storm in the world since Super Typhoon Haima (2016) of 145 kt intensity.
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Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 8
Chinook replied to wxmx's topic in Central/Western States
On June 24th, Dallas/Ft Worth Airport had 3.84" of rain, which breaks a daily record. 7.93" of rain this month. -
Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 8
Chinook replied to wxmx's topic in Central/Western States
Fort Worth Airport had 2.91" since Friday morning. That's quite a bit of rain. -
Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 8
Chinook replied to wxmx's topic in Central/Western States
107-110 in Texas. heat indices over 100 covered an area from central KS down to Mexico. -
Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 8
Chinook replied to wxmx's topic in Central/Western States
Dallas Executive Airport (KRBD) had 1.10" of rain today and has already had 5.30" of rain this month, before today. -
Central/Western Medium-Long Range Discussion
Chinook replied to andyhb's topic in Central/Western States
1 storm report in Oklahoma. What a tragedy -
Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 8
Chinook replied to wxmx's topic in Central/Western States
This is about 1-2 months worth of precipitation -
Central/Western Medium-Long Range Discussion
Chinook replied to andyhb's topic in Central/Western States
Looking back 18 years in the past, to a deadly, historic storm of May 3, 1999. Loop of this radar is at US Tornadoes twitter feed.