Chinook
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Everything posted by Chinook
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I am pleased to announce that we will have a new thread for the summer. Today, it was 80 degrees here. The snow from several days ago is long gone. We probably will have above normal temperatures for several days. I hope we will have a summer with normal to above-normal rainfall.
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Eastern Iowa could get several severe storms, with a chance for tornadoes. The SBCAPE may only reach 1000-1800 J/kg, which is generally kind of low, considering the SHARPpy-based soundings seem to have high CAPE numbers a lot of times.
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I guess this is the TDS for the confirmed tornado near Rome, TN. it's possible the tornado went over I-40
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Yesterday was the 9-year anniversary of some terrible tornadoes in NC, including this one that went through the city of Raleigh. I downloaded some data from NOAA to make this map. I hope this never happens again. The year of 2011 just had a way of making tornadoes go through cities.
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Storm-based warnings for the last 3 days. I heard there were 141 tornado warnings in 24 hours.
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Not sure if anybody replied Here's what I use
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So this is the 2nd or 3rd or 4th tornado to climb the Appalachians today? Sounds like April 3-4th 1974, when a tornado went over a mountain in West Virginia.
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This may have been the best rotational velocities near Cullman AL (02:04z), that is, 15 minutes ago.
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CC has lowered near LaFayette, GA-- seems to be correlated to rotation on SRV
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Rotation at Blanche, AL and Little River, AL still looks impressive.
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tornado-warned storm in the area of Gadsden has been impressive for several minutes. I am not sure if there has been any tornado.
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I am seeing the velocities ramp up after Pachuta, Mississippi.
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Possible tornado near Gorgas, AL (west of Birmingham) right now. This storm has tracked northeastward from Reform, AL area, with continuous tornado warnings.
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by the way, the Hattiesburg area has had several tornadoes EF1-EF5 since 2000. Hattiesburg is in the middle of this image.
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looks like 1-mile wide debris signature (Darbun, MS, west of Hattiesburg)
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possible tornado at Oak Grove LA
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These are the NAM-3km updraft helicity swaths out to 27 hours (03z Monday.) The NAM seems to like the idea of several storms in Arkansas, as opposed to MS/AL. I am not sure this is necessarily the most accurate depiction. Convection-allowing models are kind of all over the place with convection in MS. They seem to have a bit more agreement on several storms being MS/AL border near 00z, possibly extending the storms up towards Huntsville.
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Central/Western Medium-Long Range Discussion
Chinook replied to andyhb's topic in Central/Western States
Models are generally showing a deeper warm sector developing near a low pressure/warm front on Easter Sunday, 12z. I wouldn't be surprised to see some sort of outlook for central/east Texas on Saturday. As for Sunday, I would expect possibly an enhanced outlook for Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. -
Central/Western Medium-Long Range Discussion
Chinook replied to andyhb's topic in Central/Western States
I believe we should start a new general severe weather thread, since it's a new decade. -
Will storm chasers even be able to stay in hotels? I guess campgrounds could be open.
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A confirmed tornado was at Troy Alabama earlier, at 15:36z (Troy Airport)
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With this severe weather threat moving east, Valdosta/Moody AFB radar is not working at this time.
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It looks like a tornado tracked from Baker Hill, AL (south of Eufaula,) to Springvale GA.
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With a 986mb low over Iowa, and 60-65F dew points from Louisiana up to Springfield IL/Davenport IA, I believe the SPC will have to give a slight risk outlook for the entire cold front and adjacent areas. Especially with 75 kt winds at 500mb over this region.
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Anybody know if there has been any confirmed damage at Triana to Owens Cross Roads AL?
