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Chinook

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Chinook

  1. The SPC has put out a day-3 slight risk for the Red River area. The forecast soundings have around 75 kt of 0-6km shear, if any (high-based) storms develop there. The College of Dupage GEFS page shows higher supercell indices on Wednesday 5/13 and Thursday 5/14, as well as several days beyond that. I don't know how many people usually look at the GEFS for this, but it might be interesting.
  2. Just a few minutes ago, I saw the first nearby lightning bolts I've seen all year, with low rumbles of thunder. Several severe storm warnings were issued for NE Colorado this evening. Edit: my place had another thunderstorm at 11:00PM (previous was at about 10:00PM) with light to moderate rain, better thunder, and at several distinctive lightning bolts!! My rain totals are 0.30" and 0.26" for the last 2 days.
  3. SPC's web page is breaking all over the place.
  4. Radar base velocity shows up to 75 knots aloft heading for Nashville
  5. There have been about 9 recent severe wind reports with this line of storms, nearing the Mississippi River.
  6. Severe cell in SE Illinois near Shelbyville - radar data showed that 60dBz went up to 30,000 ft. Hail was estimated to be 3", but no hail of that size was reported.
  7. We have had a couple of sub-severe storms out east of me today. The last 12 days have been above 60 here, with a high of 78, yesterday, a high of 81 on 4/27 and roughly 80 degrees today. Edit: the cold front has come in. In combination with some rain showers, the cold front has increased the dew point to 48 degrees. Summertime! Edit: my place has had some rain showers and distant thunder today.
  8. I downloaded Nexrad level-2 data to make this 3-d image of the Moore tornado, 5/20/2013
  9. I am pleased to announce that we will have a new thread for the summer. Today, it was 80 degrees here. The snow from several days ago is long gone. We probably will have above normal temperatures for several days. I hope we will have a summer with normal to above-normal rainfall.
  10. Eastern Iowa could get several severe storms, with a chance for tornadoes. The SBCAPE may only reach 1000-1800 J/kg, which is generally kind of low, considering the SHARPpy-based soundings seem to have high CAPE numbers a lot of times.
  11. I guess this is the TDS for the confirmed tornado near Rome, TN. it's possible the tornado went over I-40
  12. Yesterday was the 9-year anniversary of some terrible tornadoes in NC, including this one that went through the city of Raleigh. I downloaded some data from NOAA to make this map. I hope this never happens again. The year of 2011 just had a way of making tornadoes go through cities.
  13. Not sure if anybody replied Here's what I use
  14. Models are generally showing a deeper warm sector developing near a low pressure/warm front on Easter Sunday, 12z. I wouldn't be surprised to see some sort of outlook for central/east Texas on Saturday. As for Sunday, I would expect possibly an enhanced outlook for Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.
  15. I believe we should start a new general severe weather thread, since it's a new decade.
  16. Will storm chasers even be able to stay in hotels? I guess campgrounds could be open.
  17. A confirmed tornado was at Troy Alabama earlier, at 15:36z (Troy Airport)
  18. With this severe weather threat moving east, Valdosta/Moody AFB radar is not working at this time.
  19. It looks like a tornado tracked from Baker Hill, AL (south of Eufaula,) to Springvale GA.
  20. With a 986mb low over Iowa, and 60-65F dew points from Louisiana up to Springfield IL/Davenport IA, I believe the SPC will have to give a slight risk outlook for the entire cold front and adjacent areas. Especially with 75 kt winds at 500mb over this region.
  21. Anybody know if there has been any confirmed damage at Triana to Owens Cross Roads AL?
  22. As for now, this is a radar-confirmed tornado warning at Sewanee.
  23. It looks like this storm north of Huntsville is trying to develop a stronger rotation
  24. The southern supercell near Vina, AL is ramping up with stronger rotation and a tornado warning.
  25. Thunderstorms near Tupelo MS seem to be increasing in intensity quickly.
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