Chinook

Multi-radar precipitation estimate (up to 23:00z) shows several areas of 2-2.5" from Newark to Philadelphia, with areas of 3.5"

GFS has two storms in the next few days in the Pacific. Typhoon Lekima, farther west, is expected to be 130 kt (Category 4) near Ishigakijima, Japan and also at 80 kt near the Chinese landfall point (JTWC)

Today, moisture values and CAPE values are higher than normal, with a few storms right now east of I-25, with some light rain at Boulder and Denver right now. Maybe there could be more storms this evening. For July, this area was 1-2 degrees F above normal. (1.3 degrees F above normal at Fort Collins.) The rainfall was alright but below normal. My best estimation is that Loveland got 1.05" and Fort Collins got 1.27". So finally, after our cool and cloudy springtime and the cool and cloudy month of June, the prairie grasses are getting tan.

Three tornado threats near Minneapolis.

Some international news: the latest Euro heat wave brought 108.7 to Paris and 99 to London. This broke Paris' all-time high temperature by 4 F (previous was 104.7 F).

Radar-estimated rainfall for that day. yellow =1" red = 2", magenta = 3". There are a couple of pixels of magenta on the north side of US-36, east of Estes Park.

Toledo: High 97, low 74, average 86. This was 12 degrees above average. This did not break the record of 102 (from July 20, 1930.)

When I was in grad school, I used to spend some time making hail pads for CoCoRAHS headquarters, which is a small building at the CSU Atmospheric Science campus. I have seen some (legendary) hail pads with a dent that's baseball size. It's pretty easy to cut yourself on aluminum foil making hail pads.

With 2 rounds of severe storms within the last 15 hours, radar-estimated rainfall is 7-10" west of Cadillac MI, to Lake Michigan.

102 for a high at Fort Collins-Loveland Airport -- NWS Boulder‏Verified account @NWSBoulder 20h20 hours ago More Denver (DIA) reached 101° at 3:13pm this afternoon. This ties the daily record high set back in 2005. This is the 92nd 100°+ high in the 147 year period of record for the Denver area and the first in 2019. #COwx

Video of wind blowing around tents in Appleton

That is from CoCoRAHS.org It's an organization that started in Fort Collins CO, by former state climatologist Nolan Doesken. It got started slowly in the early 2000's, but now includes a huge amount of volunteers in the US and Canada.

Did you narrowly miss 4.16" ? This map seems quite strange, in that 4.16" is next to 1.18".

I just noticed that the 8305 J/kg of surface CAPE at MPX this evening was the higher than the highest value shown on the SPC sounding climatology web site, which was about 7050 J/kg.

For the sake of just remembering a 9000 J/kg moment

There are two weak rotations near Princeton, MN, possibly proving your point.

possible TDS on radar near Henriette, MN

Two stations near the Twin Cities have measured 82 dew points right now. Those are Hutchinson and Lakeville.

Detroit Metro has gotten up to 93, but I don't think they will break any records with a thunderstorm there now, cooling it down.

The latest HRRR has significant storms in MN as soon as 21z, with, as you might expect, high values of SCP and STP nearby.

Toledo has 90/77/103 right now. I don't remember ever seeing a dew point higher than 76 at Toledo.

There is a tornado warned storm east of Lacrosse, WI. It spun up out of a blob-like multicell cluster. Tomorrow: models have some impressive supercell and tornado indices out ahead of a potential squall line in Minnesota and Wisconsin.

The NWS says 100-101 degrees for Thursday and Friday for the northern Colorado metro areas. It should be at least this hot for SE Colorado (Arkansas River Valley).

Last night, a thunderstorm occurred here at sunset. It was a small storm, that made the rainy western sky look totally orange, with a few lightning bolts. Here is a storm from a few minutes ago that left a circular outflow boundary, evident in radar and visible satellite

July 1