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Everything posted by Chinook
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- 231 replies
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- absolute trainwreck?
- abandon all hope?
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(and 1 more)
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- 231 replies
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- absolute trainwreck?
- abandon all hope?
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(and 1 more)
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Models say 110+ heat index from Nebraska to Fargo
- 231 replies
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- absolute trainwreck?
- abandon all hope?
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(and 1 more)
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It was a record of 98, because the monsoon is nothing but sun and 90's. Maybe a couple of areas got clouds today, but, hey high 98, low 67.
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tropical storm force with the steady winds (36 gusting to 47)
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Typhoon Ampil (category-3, 105 knots) is east of Tokyo. This is kind of interesting that it has many parallels to Hurricane Ernesto. It should be peaking. It is traveling north. It's much closer to the Japan coastline than Ernesto is to the American coastline. I wonder if the storm energy eventually affects the eastern United States in 10 days
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By the way, this recon plot says 969mb and the flight level winds peaked at close to 100 kt (can't show the plot) but at least 96kt (cat 3) with one wind barb being the light pink color. As mentioned NHC says 90mph on Public Advisory 17A
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landspout tornado reported at 4mi northwest of Broomfield (whatever municipality that's in.)
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wow, HWRF maxes it at 111kt and 950mb at 114hours(4.75 days) but misses Bermuda by a lot. HMON has 82kt, right on Bermuda.
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GEFS shows a somewhat significant amount of spread in the low pressure positions in 3.5 days. This always kinds of fascinates me to see the output of 20 models on the same chart
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Sometimes, the CAMs are almost exactly right for storms near the KS/CO border. I don't know how it works out that way. I say that because they can be kind of wrong about all sorts of situations.
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They take into account reports from ranchers and farmers. But maybe not dudes in the suburbs.
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It's rainy! This is the first time I've seen a person in a poncho on the RMNP webcam. I have deleted the image of the car for privacy reasons. I assume we can say the person is pretty anonymous with the poncho over the face
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This is pretty cool. By the way, 5-day forecasts have a fairly good amount of precipitation for Colorado
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Chinook replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
confirmed tornado near Cleveland (Parma/Seven Hills) initial confirmed tornado warning was near the radar/CLE airport several minutes ago -
I bring it up because once every couple of years, Tampa is in the cone of uncertainty, or whatever you might call it. The storm systems have made landfall at various places. No storm has caused a large storm surge at Tampa Bay. Correct me if I am wrong. Tampa has the favorable geography for letting SW winds drive the water into the bay. St. Petersburg now has 31 kt gusting to 40 kt, with the radar picking up at least 50 kts at 2000ft above ground in the general area.