Chinook

NWS/WPC forecasts 1" of rain for eastern Colorado and New Mexico this week. We'll see how it turns out. Best of luck busting the long-term drought for a lot of areas of the country. As mentioned by somebody, the drought is down to D1 in Larimer County, but that's a limited area. Strange weather pattern with a cutoff low in the West. There seem to be no interesting severe weather outlooks anytime soon. The NWS/CPC latest ENSO bulletin said we are in a neutral phase, with El Nino onset expected soon. The SST anomalies in the Pacific are already positive. The current weather pattern has rain all week in the southern USA. It already has some of the looks of an El Nino. Including storm chasers sitting at home and doing nothing. They say it could be a large El Nino by the time we get to winter.

A few severe storms are out west of Minneapolis, where the dew points are only 50 degrees.

I finally found a sundog

This storm has a tornado warning now

perhaps another highly dangerous flood

possible dangerous flash flooding in Dallas, and small hail was reported

Visible satellite of Wyoming before some melting

Estes Park RMNP web cams shows 5 to maybe more inches at RMNP Fall River Road. Pine trees look like they have 8"

Considerable severe thunderstorm warnings for Michigan

snow reported at the cities in central/southern Wyoming and also here at RMNP:

sunset tonight

SPC storm reports says 4.50" near Hamilton! I wonder how many injuries there are per year from 2.75" plus hail. I know there are essentially no fatalities from hail.

possible 2-3" hail and rotation southwest of Fort Worth

Huge supercell in central Texas with hail wrapping in the RFD, overhang, possible 3" hail. New tornado warning here