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roardog

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Everything posted by roardog

  1. roardog
    Wasn’t the high temp something like 24F there?
  2. roardog
    I know not everyone lives in a lake effect snow belt but when you see the lake effect areas getting buried in December, that means it’s a cold, wintry pattern everywhere around our area. There was ice fishing going on around here in December. That hasn’t been happening in very many Decembers the last 10 years. I know I’ve had a little more snow so far than many in this sub but this winter has at least felt like winter and not an extended November.
  3. roardog
    Makes sense. Heading south to see the snow. Which poster is driving?
  4. roardog
    You're actually in a great spot for W flow lake effect. Lake Michigan is narrow west of here so that's the worst wind direction to get Lake Michigan stuff around here. Maybe Monday's NE and N flow can get some Lake Huron stuff here.
  5. roardog
    Going old school, I would start watching later this month to see if we start seeing any big positive SOI days. That would probably give us a hint of when SE ridging might be coming. The SOI is negative now and has been for a little while which is a good indicator of the coming/continuing eastern trough. It'll be interesting to see if the weeklies are on to something or if it's just going to Nina Feb climo.
  6. roardog
    Need that in Saukville to see if the palms can make it.
  7. roardog
    While the coming airmass this week isn’t extreme for January standards, It would still be plenty cold enough to go below zero at night if there was snow cover.
  8. roardog
    I had about an inch last night so I have about 2 inches on the ground now. That’s better than bare ground when it’s going to be below freezing for an extended period like we’re going to be.
  9. roardog
    Icon is north again. Gets the snow into Chicago and even as far north as I-69 in Michigan.
  10. roardog
    Last year was technically a super Nino. I mean, those are always bad everywhere. There was no hope.
  11. roardog
    Rgem might be trying at 84 hours to go north.
  12. roardog
    Now the Icon brings snow as far north as Detroit. lol
  13. roardog
    It’s actually better than mild and dry IMO. When it’s mild in January, it seems like it’s foggy and dreary everyday.
  14. roardog
    Nothing that you would consider extreme cold for January standards is really shown but there should be a nice stretch of below freezing temps for many in the sub. Could actually be the longest stretch we have had in a few years.
  15. roardog
    Live a little and just set it to 70 for goodness sake.
  16. roardog
    There are some subtle changes at the end of the ensembles like a weaker Aleutian trough and lower heights/reduced high latitude blocking but they still have a +PNA continuing right to the end. That tweet is showing the weeklies.
  17. roardog
    It’s all about timing. Here we ended up about .7 degrees above normal(so essentially normal) with about 15 inches of snow. The torch at the very end of the month is obviously what took it into the positive departures albeit barely. So overall not a bad winter month here.
  18. roardog
    Most likely. lol
  19. roardog
    It probably means nothing but the last two systems that nobody was paying attention to because it was too warm for much snow were NW trenders. I ended up with something like 1.70 inches of rain from the Sunday storm that a couple days before looked like it was going to stay south of the state. Even yesterday’s rain/snow mix moved NW at the last minute.
  20. roardog
    At this point, your January torch in the east forecast is in trouble regardless of how the end of the month plays out.
  21. roardog
    I see nothing on the ensembles that show anything but cold for the part of the country and time frame that’s been discussed forever now. You’re either trying to get people fired up or you’re basing your claims off of individual operational runs which everyone has been told for the last 25 years on various boards to never use an operational run in the medium range.
  22. roardog
    Didn’t ‘13-‘14 actually end up colder than ‘76-‘77 in areas like northern Minnesota? I know, someone is going to say that was 10 years ago and it’s impossible now but people said that then too and look what happened.
  23. roardog
    Yeah. The coldest air goes south and west of us. That’s probably due to the high latitude blocking. It kind of reminds me of the 09-10 winter in that regard.
  24. roardog
    This pattern coming up will be good for getting the Great Lakes more ice covered than we've seen in years, that's for sure.
  25. roardog
    Like I said the other day, it wouldn’t surprise at all if we eventually go to a typical Nina like pattern but I want to see signs of that on medium range guidance before I believe it. This feels so much like all of those times when it’s been warm and everyone is waiting for a cold pattern that never comes. This current “pacific puke” pattern is certainly the exception so far for this winter and not the rule. Right now we’re waffling between weak Nino and strong Nino patterns with no sign of Nina. lol
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