roardog

You guys can enjoy the warmth while I enjoy some cold NE winds with rain and fog this weekend. Maybe if I’m lucky the front will move north of here on Sunday like some of the models show but I would never count on that this time of year.

Yeah. This warm March we are having is actually worse in some ways IMO.

It really is the worst time of year. The period from about mid March to the end of April where most plant life is still dormant and you get a few tastes of warmth. Plus the days are long and the sun is warm so the cold is an annoyance.

Too early in the year for wildfire smoke so we'll just get dust instead. lol

Being on the west side of the Great Lakes is the worst. Hard to get good LES but spring cooling will never be denied.

Come on. Don’t be that way. You know it’s going to be 89 everyday.

I agree. The atmosphere is such a complex system. Humans adding greenhouse gases into the atmosphere that wouldn’t otherwise be there obviously has to have some impact. I mean, that’s obvious, right? Would the 37 degrees outside where I am right now be a different temperature if not for the extra greenhouse gasses? Who knows. That’s why everyone disagrees on this subject.

He’s been saying if his ideas are right it should warm up after that and lead to a warm May nationally and a hot summer.

It wasn’t available on our cable until the late 80s. It must have been before 1988 though because I remember they had a special program weekdays at 8pm that summer called drought watch or something dramatic like that because of the hot and dry summer that was happening. It’s funny how that was 37 years ago and I can still remember the opening was some dramatic music with dry cracked ground. lol

The local forecasts were generated from something the cable company had to buy I believe. So it took a long time around here to even upgrade from the 3000 to the 4000. I think it was well into the 1990s before that happened. Back then, we still had a small local cable company that probably didn’t have the resources to upgrade that stuff as readily.

There was a Weatherstar 3000 before that. The 3000 was the one they had when we first got The Weather Channel in the ‘80s. I think that’s the one when there was a severe thunderstorm warning that it covered the whole screen with scrolling text so you couldn’t actually see a radar. lol

These days, we all have access to the latest model forecasts. We can see trends or changes before the official forecast changes. I remember back in the day you knew a decent storm was possible in the coming days from either the met on your local news or from watching The Weather Channel. Then when the Winter Storm Watch was issued it was exciting because that was the next step toward seeing a big storm. Then you had to wait about 12 hours for the next update. How times have changed. lol

It was a little below normal. It just felt colder because the last two winters were ridiculously warm.

This is where luck comes in though. I get that the chance of phasing decreases with the strong jet but areas to your south had decent snow this winter. A little bit of a SE ridge or just any nuance in January could have brought that snow to NYC instead of Philadelphia/DC.

It was basically Nina Feb climo vs an unusually negative AO. I feel like without the strongly -AO, the pattern could have ended up being a blowtorch for the entire eastern half of the country. The -AO really helped to keep the cold in southern Canada and the northern US.