Maestrobjwa

Like I said yesterday...I think it's remarkable that 8/20 MECS+ came in 16 years!

As long as it's close it hear watching. But if models start trending further and further away then we are indeed cooked...

It's a literal crapshoot.

Being fringed does that...lol And if you notice, most of the handwringers have been in the screw zone all winter and are getting a bit squirrely

I am! Only because it's not staying up for me because I habitually go to bed late

Baltinorth crew represent! We can get through this, lol

Was just about to mention that (as I just Googled, lol). With as far south as things pressed last month, I don't put anything past it.

I mean...we didn't think NO was gonna get a 8" snowfall either, lol Weird things happen! I mean yeah it's not the most probable but weather is weather...

Only runs to 120 at 6z and 18z

I believed that's called pile stuffing and that is not allowed for snowpack stats

So basically the only advantage SV has is the speed? Lol

Indeed. That's the logical thing to do...but ya know, feelings and their lack of said logic . But seriously: It's a pretty good place to be at 150+ and nothing is showing a complete miss (waiting on the Euro, of course).

You gotta remember the reason why, though. The hand wringing is coming from those in the screw zone...not necessarily because the outcome of that run is believed, but just seeing the image can make your eye twitch...

It was kinda late doing it similar to the ICON (just not nearly as good of a result, obviously)

How's that? It's gonna be mostly rain isn't it?

Was the "kicker" a little less of a problem this run?

Previous page, lol

Some people just wake up and choose to watch things burn, lolol

Well I often bounce around to various forums when there's a potential threat thst we both are tracking.. I guess it would've been better to quote it and put it in our forum, but...does it matter?

Thank you for explaining that--was gonna ask in the other thread but didn't wanna sound even more amateurish, lol Great see a more amped solution!

I'm not sure what you're doing here, man...I never said it HAD to be 12"+. However, of course...this run is awesome! But uh...why the trolling?

Someone correct me if I'm wrong, but...the Canadian had a bit of a phase, correct? I think that may be the way we can get a win of some sort (Someone may have said that earlier as well).

Like Heisy said...that dang nina-driven kicker. Without a phase at the right time this has advisory written all over it. But it is day 8 so it's still early...

@psuhoffman I just thought about something...if you've said there's only been 20 12"+ in our history, how crazy is it that 10 of those have come in the last 32 years? We literally got one every 3-4 years...so I guess that must've been a heater! I will say, being someone born in 1990, my entire working memory through 2016 was getting one of those storms every 3-4 years, lol So it's a slightly skewed perspective that has made the last 9 years feel more unusual. But you're absolutely right--it is rare historicallyrics! Just more common for 23 years

I don't know why you think I think this...I don't. I was only talking about the next threat specifically, and getting clarity on exactly what you meant. And I don't believe that 6-10" is a fail. Now, would I like this pattern to break the 6"+ drought? Absolutely! Don't need a MECS to do that, lol 6" is my bar from now until I finally get that from a storm again