Maestrobjwa
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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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Alright, so just park a nice band over Mt. PSU and...
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How often would we get a clipper this early, though? (Although I get your overall point of the apparent clipper disappearance. But I'd argue if this were a month later it would've been better)
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And I do wonder if we have enough data to compare snowstorms to now in terms of what a storm A 60 years ago would've looked like today. That part seems more speculative as of now rather than backed up by solid data.
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Yeah it probably doesn't since it's technically a separate discussion from long range stuff. I mean, I don't know...it's a little bit murky since we do talk about analogs and such. But when this other sufff gets brought up the thread seems to get in the weeds a bit.
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The theory is that with a warmer globe some storms on the margin back then may not work as well now. But that's if you believe in warming, lol I think the resistance to the idea of our snow climo not being what it was is twofold: 1) The fear of it being true (of course most of us wouldn't WANT it to be true, and are hoping it isn't) 2) The general polarization of the AGW debate
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Fixed
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I have no clue how everybody would get out of there in one piece, lol
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Well, we certainly know where it belongs...the digital snow thread!
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Shows you how much of a unicorn 2009-10 was. And even that event was followed by a torch, and those 19 inches were already a memory by Christmas night, lol (Now I can't remember how that month started temp-wise though)
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Consider the source...lol I find it rather annoying when there are knowledgeable posters with a HEAVY warm bias. So it's just enough to contribute, yet some of them can troll too.
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Why?
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Seems like the models wanna give Wednesday a little more juice...perhaps we see our first flurries? (It's been so long since I've seen a falling flake of any kind that I'd actually get up for that if they happen at 7 am, lol)
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Dang...so now Lamar is the last starting QB standing in the AFC North. I am PRAYING he stays healthy after what we've gone through the last two seasons!
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It's the same as somebody posting a monthly projection here, though. Just like we say "this model still likes some snow at the end of the month"...he did the same. Now yes, Tony is a weenie like many of us, but I don't see anything wrong with this. Don't really think it's "hyping" either. Just like if somebody says the extended models favor a better pattern by then...
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Like I said the other day...science and emotion don't always go together, lol
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What these two posts are referencing is precisely why I cannot fully embrace the possibility of a better winter, or seeing something different than the last 7 years. This stuff could cause a Niño not to work, thereby putting a fork in any above-mediam snow possibilities. We just don't know...that's the thing. We simply don't know, and being skeptical is not illogical given what we've seen. If the Niño works I will be thrilled...but until then...hard to be TOO optimistic just yet.
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I'm seeing an underlying poo-pooing anybody who posts about whether the warmer state of the globe overall is negatively impacting snowy setups that used to work. On the surface it's a "Why ate you worried about that and it's just Dec 2nd", but underneath that there's an aversion to the whole aspect of a "bade state" and a warmer globe. Some of you act like that couldn't even be a possibility--which I don't understand because we've all been watching the last 7 years. For me, that alone is enough to be skeptical of anything working until we actually see it work THIS season. Sure a setup worked 15-20 years ago...but show me how recently it worked. Yes, we have not had a legit Niño since the 2015-16 super...so that's different from the last 7 years. But you can't just dismiss any concern about certain influences being permanent features that interfere with snowy patterns.
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As you said in another thread...it's fear because of last year and the 4-5 years prior. So those posts are more emotion than science...and the inherent unknowns of the winter simply because it's just Dec 2nd leave a gap of speculation, lol
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I'm still a bit annoyed that we wasted the last solar minimum, smh
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Is there a such thing as a rainy clipper? Lol
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Hey buddy that's my job! Read my avatar--I'M the Maestro and control all musical content here. Now get in line or get out of my studio!!!
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And if your upper level skill isn't quite there...just unplug until Monday, lol Chaotic flows, chaotic runs, and even less certainty outside of a couple days.
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The way I see it, it sounds like we could already start off being ahead of last year: Actually SEEING snowflakes falling. Last year turned the troll aspect up to 1000 by not only giving just 0.2 inches, but doing at dang 4 am when nobody could see it, lol So for me even non-sticking flakes would be a good start (that and the fact that Mt. PSU may get closer to the inch )
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Oh I had assumed you did, lol Oops (but just know I'm making the effort to be better here)
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@mattie g I know ya got me on ignore but regardless...fixed
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