Maestrobjwa

Models have been spot-on with that jack bubble over Central MD

Awesome

My brother...you've gotta practice some gratitude man. (That's something I'm working on myself)

Wow was not expecting to see everything covered this morning! Nice surprise appetizer

Yeah their secondary was getting absolutely torched-not sure how far they can get like that.

It hasn't been dormant at all actually, lol It's been very active: but slightly suppressed under the tpv that's been over us this month. When you look at model runs, look at the waves coming across the south. It's definitely there!

Happy for the Lions fans. And hats off to Dan Campbell and how he literally willed this team back into relevance...and to this moment. Those fans have waited so long and gone through many seasons of torture, lol Good for them

Oh yeah? When are they gonna stop?

Sweet mercy...the Cowboys find a way to let their fans down year...after year...after year...for now 29 years. Like how do you do that for this long? Lol I mean 3 straight 12-5 seasons...and the inevitable choke still happens! I almost feel bad for third fans (almost, lol) Oof

Dang I can't believe we're having something trend BETTER as we get closer...been a long time!

Anybody else lose power?

You're misunderstanding me, man. I'm not saying don't talk about it. I'm not even complaining about that this time. I was speaking specifically to your frustration/bewilderment with the excuses. You've expressed that, correct? THAT is what I was addressing. I mean, have you not expressed that in your posts on this topic? Lol I was just saying why that may be, not that you shouldn't be talking about it. Summary of my point: Logic doesn't always cut through emotion, and hence responses i.e. excuses! And tbh, it's actually better we address what's happening (particularly if we have tangible examples of it happening in real time). Gotta acknowledge it to keep future expectations in check. (Does that sound like I said don't talk about it? Lol I know I previously bristled a bit, but not this time).

Listen I wasn't trying to be snarky, man. Not really complaining about the discussion either...just trying to understand your why, that's all. And you said "I don't get it" (as you've expressed bewilderment with all the excuses and such before)...and so I offered up an explanation. I mean, an unpleasant reality IS a part of the conversation, is it not? So I thought my point about how uncomfortable it is was relevant (or so I thought).

Yeah I know, lol But I do wonder why...I mean if it were me, I wouldn't waste my energy with it. And don't forget that perhaps some of the excuses come from not wanting to accept a certain reality yet. So when the excuses start to pile up, remember...this is something no snow lover wants to hear. So probably some denial mixed with a few legit unknowns about what things will look like going forward.

Why do you feel the need to argue this, though? Like yeah you've got valid points. But if people don't wanna hear it, they don't wanna hear it. Yeah it'll be this reason or that reason. I don't know why you waste all that energy in an endless campaign of making your case, lol

So now the suppressive tpv we've had is finally shoving off...but as a result more amped and north? Of course, lol Maybe there could be some suppressive flow left over...

Flizzard And a flizzard with fatties!

A name model run last night depicted a thin rain/snow stripe for this squall...and that's exactly what happened, lol Got bursts of flizzard mixed with drizzle!

Models have been lovin' Central MD this time

Well I mean...seeing as we were almost at flurries, the place to go was up, lol

@psuhoffman Thanks for the tpv explanation in the main thread. Now...to discuss what we can't in there: What is causing the jet to situate north? Warmer water, or? (Trying to visualize that as well)

These model runs have managed to put a little jack bubble over my house since yesterday, lol Hey I'll take it!

And it doesn't dig enough because the pac jet is situated further north, and that's because of...that? Lol (Had you demonstrated what that looks like visually in a previous post?) I mean if it's warming it's warming...I was just trying to visualize what it looks like. And mercy...that means that even in a niño...that takes away another way we can win, smh Basically if we don't get a strong enough SS, there aren't many other paths to victory. Again, mercy...

So that's an example of just a bad luck thing, right? You'd think we'd be solidly on the board right now if it wasn't there! (Of course we could get on the board if Tues-Wed can squeeze out an inch...but you know what I mean)

That tpv is getting on my nerves...makes it feel like when waves are flying around in ninas, smh Hope it's in a better spot after the brief relax.