Maestrobjwa

GO. TIME!!! GO RAVENS!!!

It's still rather rare. And who knows if that still works now. 2014 & 2015 were the last time... P.S. Where did you get the data for specific storms those years? (I have a list of the big ones and overall seasonal totals...but not the smaller ones)

Yeah I mean it's getting hard enough in DJF...how much more difficult in March? Although you wonder if the elephant may cause crazier dynamics that may lead to more flukes...but I wouldn't want to stake a snow hope on that!

Not getting a 1-2 footer this winter would absolutely suck. Heck, maybe that would mean they can't happen anymore, who knows? But either way, we're staring down at least 2 ninas (or three since they LOVE to triple dip in this "base state"), and even after that...who knows? So I viewed this winter as possibly the last chance of getting one for some time... I'm not even gonna waste my time if/when la nina comes back next year. It is not worth it...you get piddlings on the front end and torch by February, noreasters dry slot you and develop too late...not tracking that bull. My time will be better spent on other things.

4-5 weeks? Perhaps for n & w folks...more like 2-3 for the beltway where people actually live Once March comes it's pretty much done here, unfortunately (can get a little slop but I can remember few warning snows in March)

Personally, I'd rather not wait for March to produce a big storm--that has literally only happened for the city maybe 3 times in 120 years. Only N & W have a legit chance at a foot in March. And see, if we were not coming off the worst stretch in our history, not having a big dog in 8 years, a winter where we get what we got this winter, a slop 1-4" event or tow and maybe another warning event to get us to 20" wouldn't be so bad--it would actually be quite solid for this day and age. The problem is...if a big one doesn't happen this winter, with la nina progged to come back next year,n we could be waiting at LEAST another 2-3 years. We NEED it to happen this winter...which is why the news of a smaller Feb window is disappointing. To go a decade without a 1-2 footer would be a new snow low even for here--as previously at least every 4 or 6-7 years we'd get one.

It's hard to keep track of what imperfection is just random/bad luck like the tpv (bad luck we thankfully overcame this week) and what's...the other thing. Which category would suddenly ++NAO fall under? (maybe the answer goes in the other thread, lol) And also...how does it fluctuate that much from deeply negative to super positive? (Unless it wasn't "deeply" negative)

Wow--streamer!!! It's like somebody ripped open a down pillow, lol Nice bonus!

Fox 45

I think that's what people often mistake that for. It's easy to see orange and thing "Torrrrrrrch!" Lol What you like on that map is the above normal chances for precip in the south...that would mean the STJ is still alive and kickin'. Have some cold close by and you never know (enlightening I know, lol)

Watching the local news, and they were covering kids sledding at Rodger's Forge. One parent said when the flakes started falling, her son was outside in shorts and a t-shirt saying "I'VE MISSED THIS" She said the kid had been out there all day and half the night and said "I've been deprived...I'm not stopping! It may never happen again" This kid GETS IT

Unofficially measured 3.5" for thus event...total of 7.5 for the week! Given what we've been through the last 8 years...that's a pretty great week P.S. Yes I'm a bit greedy and would like those streamers not to miss me but...hey, what can I say? It's been so long since felt even this much snow!

This little speck of red NW of Leesburg...a speckband? Lol

I get the disappointment with the upcoming look (I am too). But all the same: Dread tomorrow or enjoy today...for me I'm gonna try and enjoy today. Snow is more precious these days...so why not enjoy it while it's here?

Well, now we have a choice: We can either spend the day dreading what losing 2-3 weeks may do, or enjoy what's falling right now. Dreading would be easy to fall into (very easy), but I'm gonna try my darndest to practice gratitude and appreciate this. Besides, we don't know if we get more or not...may as well lean all the way into this!

Not quite, but a solid step in that direction. Median for my part of the sub (BWI) is 15 inches; average around 18". This week could get us to 8-10" depending on today.

*pretend shocked face*

More solid flakes now...steady, moderate snow since getting under some more green

Ain't gonna lie...don't like the idea of throwing away three weeks of prime climo. Waiting until mid Feb basically gives us one shot at getting a big one. (Prime climo starts to decline after PD). Hope we can sneak in something else before mid Feb... What we have now is AWESOME--however, by itself it won't help us to get above average, I don't think. And that's the bar for this winter imo, given the uncertainty after this year.

Would love to get into that band just west if Baltimore

Yeah I was a little surprised at that projection...unless they think we'll get some good stuff from the coastal

I kinda feel bad for the dude...and everytime you try and talk some sense into him he just ignores it altogether, lol I guess if some people are intent on being miserable no matter what, ya can't really stop 'em...

Wait...seriously???

Ah okay so not that far after all--my bad, lol

Ah you're quite a bit a ways from me, lol