Maestrobjwa

Now let's take a look at what you just did: Psu leaving had ZERO to do with models. And yet somehow some way, you found a way to assume that it was. I feel like you come in here every winter just to pick a fight about the same thing...and to what end? It just sows hostility, man.

He does. It's called "Hoffman's Mid Atlantic Weather Page" He said he hadn't been active on it for years. The post he made the other day was the first one since the 2016 blizzard, lol

Oh you weren't on here a couple days ago? He left the forum (I won't rehash why here as not to stir up the topic again. If you wanna know I'll message ya). That's why he posted on fb the other day--he said he's gonna start posting his thoughts there again.

So more like a Miller Eh?

For what, exactly? To constantly model bash? Advocate to return to the days before computers? Lol (But real question tho...is that what you're advocating go back to that?)

Seeing as you've been here for years, I know you know this but I'll say it anyway...Isn't this is a long range thread. So we're gonna talk about well, long range! Repeating over and over about model inaccuracy whenever somebody mentions anything LR doesn't add much...like bro, everybody knows the inaccuracies hence the term fantasy range. It's just looking at an area of potential and ya just see if it gets closer or not. It's just LR analysis--it's all low confidence, lol

Yeah but the geography didn't change, though...and we're not talking about being "too warm" either...so what changed?

Same here, smh. I haven't even hit median since 2019 when we got to 18.3". And even the one time BWI measured over 6"...here in N. Baltimore it never got there, lol I sure would like to know what the heck is going on or if it's just horrible luck. E-W waves like Psu mentioned have just hit the same wall over and over again...it's one of those weird things where ya swear there's a reason but there may not be. I mean...the same spot losing out and nothing changed geographically? Nah man it had to be something, lol Hope the next time we have a legit nino it'll finally break the streak. Until then...we up here have a complaint without criticism card as we would've had an entire decade of bad snow luck

But yet one that was cold pretty much along the way through and the little that did fall in our yards stuck around for a month! Weird indeed...kinda funny how I technical better last year somehow (11.4" vs maybe 8-9" this year). One of these days I'll get above average!

Ah screw it I'm on to ENSO watch 2025-26, lol Time to root for El niño with a +PDO. Alright everybody say it with me: Niño, Plus PDO! Niño, Plus PDO! Niño, Plus PDO

Alright somebody tag me when he's about to. I have almost zero interest in hockey but I do like to watch sports history when it happens (unless it involves a team I don't like like the Yankees, lol)

Did he break the record?

La Nina Marches can be unpredictable sometimes. You can't really say zero chance yet.

I'm assuming you meant not feeling like the world is ending 24/7? Lol And you're absolutely right--since November this is probably the least amount of news I've consumed. It's better just to get the main points...just digest what's necessary and not go swimming in it. Gotta take care of your mental health, otherwise you'll be even less equipped to deal with whatever comes. Besides, being down and stressed 24/7 is kinda like letting the bad win out--don't give them that satisfaction

I kinda understand it too. It's become quite intertwined with what's going on in many people's lives right now. However, be that as it may...Given how politics will ultimately cannibalize any other topic or conversation, it's nearly impossible to have that AND stick to the main topic this forum was created for in the first place: weather. So no matter what's going on (and again, i definitely get it),...it would be extremely difficult for the two to coexist without dissolving into who knows what (a la the recently nuked Hood). We're all gonna miss psu here, though! Hope he comes back eventually.

Curious about why you picked that year specifically, lol

Yeah we haven't had to use that thread all winter don't break the streak now

I feel like atmospheric memory and Chill's "train tracks" are kinda cut from a simar cloth. It’s kinda like when a winter shows ya who it is...believe it the first time, lol

So all over the state they about to make the roads all ashy for no reason? Boo

The first day of spring was hilarious (I remember making a video to troll my friends who aren't big on snow, lol)

My question is...why have those w-e been so bad in our yards the last 8 years? Constantly hitting the same dang wall like that seems weird to me. Ya poked me a bit when I shared that post from Bluewave about something in the Pacific (ocean temps around Japam or something like that) possibly being a culprit...but this is why I did. Seems weird that those waves have setup at the exact same spot all this time.

Well, it doesn't have to be...I mean this to me just felt like something totally random in the flow that ultimately screwed it up. It just wasn't meant to be this time around...just gotta flush this one and move on. All you can do, really.

Brooooo well this would be a perfect time to see it! It's a 3-part Docudrama, and Paul Rhys' Beethoven portrayal is the best one I've ever seen. All 3 parts are on YouTube for free (and each is an hour so you'll have plenty to distract ya ) Part 1: https://youtu.be/QVtf5LbXB2s?si=Q5bAGHkuBIfTBnqe Part 2: https://youtu.be/tedQsfbcMQ0?si=0j14rjArDTUp_jqb Part 3: https://youtu.be/pHdyfuNnaOM?si=Tln-Dr9Zn7kv7FET

Looking at the models like: This is from "The Genius of Beethoven" btw. Have you ever seen it?

https://x.com/AvaWBAL/status/1891447717366243549?t=Lfs_GQNcyLgo2AsGhF1tZQ&s=19 @mappy!!! Ava just said "I'm the problem it's me". So you are hereby guilty by association!