Maestrobjwa

I think fat flurry just blew by my nose...it's beginning! (unless it was dust, lol But nah, I felt a few more flurries)

Nothing in Balt. City yet!

Is it wrong for me to be just a tiny bit annoyed at that? Lol Then again...my happy number may be 5-6 on this one...so, if the city is now in warning criteria...we oughta have a chance!

Man that is weird seeing Baltimore city being on THAT side of the dividing line to Baltimore county (usually it's the other way around!! Lol)

Yep...same here! Hopefully our shovels' period of gently weeping is at an end!

Ha...gonna be interesting to watch! See I've had a little petty peeve the last couple years...Wanna see 5 inches again so Baltimore can have our first verified WSW (last year fell just short by .2 inches at BWI, lolL

"Most"? Can't see that reaching up to Baltimore...I mean, could it?

Yeah Baltimore seems to be a dividing line this time, lol (unfortunately!)

Surface what? Lol Add that one to the americanwx dictionary!

How do you know that for sure, man? El Nino would argue against that...(unless we have really bad luck, lol And looking at the upcoming pattern...the only way this subforum doesn't shovel is if we miss on all a lot of opportunities, lol)

So uh...since the srefs are so useless, why are they even still a thing? Lol Are they good for something else?

Perhaps some consolation flurries for Baltimore?....Please?

So you mean to tell me we can have something like that even if we are NOT in a nina? And tell me...this...awful entity and wrecker of snow hope that is looking to steal our snow this time...is this a feature where, at long range (like looking for good patterns on the weeklies and such) we can say "Ah, with this setup, NS suppression isn't likely"--Because I don't want to even look at another threat where this particular thing can happen...because it seems to be a pointless fight. (Right now, the mere mention of "northern stream" makes me cringe)

Ya tryin' to torture us, dude? Lol But yeah, that goes to show you how just one little feature at the wrong time is screwing us over, smh (our last hope for this one is that it's being overdone on the models!)

Dang...I thought all our northern stream suppression depression would've left with the la nina--but here we dealing with it again! I guess this is one example of how...even in a nino...you can still fail south if the confluence is strong enough...

Well I mean...it would be...but ain't the "wall" still there? EDIT: Yep, it's still there...

Like what? What the CMC showed? What are the odds of that? Or really...when was the last time guidance looked this locked in on a suppressed solution 4-5 days out, and it all of the sudden trended much further north?

This sounds like a losing battle...If it was gonna work out, surely we'd see evidence of some sort of a trend in our favor (save the Canadian...but how can we evn consider that possibility when nothing else supports it?). Can we just stick a fork in this one?

That's the Canadian, I believe...

Gonna be really interesting to see if it at least holds onto this idea (or even grows on it!)

Sounds like the phase solution is the only thing that will keep those of us north of DC in the game!

The 54 inches of rain on the year are just a mirage...lol