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Maestrobjwa

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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa

  1. But why does where it ended up matter at this point? The idea if an stj wave (if I'm labeling it correctly) and a NS wave being in the same vicinity is still there (and the idea of the cold air mass being better this time). For Day 10, I think that's just fine Precisely. Really, I think I've mentally moved on from this weekend...and instead am looking at it as the start of the next tracking IF this look is still there by Friday.
  2. Unfortunately...man, this is gonna be a tough one to miss. Any other time...we'd be set with this track. But this is the one late January day where we, for whatever reason, have difficulty bringing in cold air, smh If we can't pull off a bit of a miracle here...man I hope the better look the following week continues to move forward in time and we can cash in on that...because this is getting kinda ridiculous even for us!
  3. Which means this weekend may only be good for the beginning of chase for NEXT weekend? I think I'll take that...lol
  4. Ah yes...I can see that on the record here that we got 8.5 in Jan...at least we got the ambiance! (and no, I wasn't around back then, lol)
  5. I'm not sure what area you live in, but 1970-1977 primarily sucked and were below average snowfall every year at BWI!
  6. Man we played this game with last weekend's rainer...lol (I'm more intrigued by the potential just beyond that...hope we'll have something to chase by Friday!)
  7. Seems like the ICON wants to break us off a piece of that shortwave bar for that light Thursday thing...
  8. As long as we have the potential the following weekend...because then I could possibly take a fail on this. I don't want this to be the only halfway workable window we get...makes it more nerve-wracking tracking this one, lol
  9. Starting to wonder if cutter may be the first solution to go as the goalposts narrow.....we shall see. (And I also wonder if the cutter solution is just the GFS trying to figure out the quicker timing? Eh, I don't know...just wild guessin', lol)
  10. And now it goes and cuts the thing? Lolol Unless other guidance starts showing that again...the GFS don't know what it's doin' on this one!
  11. What...it's not like we're roasting all week (looks to be low 40s for highs before next weekend, doesn't it? Surely it wouldn't take THAT long for toads to cave in such a solution!)
  12. ICON been tryin' to show Central MD a lot of love today...lol (even as it's had us right on the edge of the line this time, lol)
  13. While I've never lived away from here or been away from here when a storm hit, but I can imagine being bummed too if I was. And you're right...it's an affliction--and one that can be rather insatiable (and, as you, er...eloquently described earlier... incredibly jealous of other people's snow, lol) Shoot, I'm kinda sorry I'm not old enough to remember 1993! (I was only 2 years old!)
  14. So...a possible cold air source for the coastal? (that is, if we were to see a trend toward this)
  15. But again...is there any way things could tick a little colder in the next 4 or 5 days? Of course this particular run won't do it, but...I'm just wondering. Look, if it's already time to punt this away for I-95 and east it's better to know now then later...that's why I'm asking whether there's any possibility at all for improvement on future runs.
  16. So uh...are we past the point where such a feature could pop up on future model runs...or is it still possible?
  17. And ya said the CCB (did you explain what that is in the snow climo thread, btw?) is something that we would need, right?
  18. Agreed. Would much rather start from there than yesterday's 12z cutter, lol
  19. And really...without that airmass, all the tiny details that we need to make snow are gonna be jumping all over the place until at least Wednesday...So between now and then we gonna be seeing all kinds of runs, lol
  20. Yeah I don't get it, lol The thing was just showing a cutter 3 runs ago...and each model has been showing different solutions. If ya try to parse details now...you'll go mad!
  21. Yeah as much as I love weather...that math would make me run for the hills, lol Nope!!
  22. Yeah at Day 7...and with all the jumping around on the GFS...yeah, we can definitely take this for now. At least it's closer.
  23. Bring on the thunder! (cause', ya know...winter folklore and all that )
  24. So the gefs and eps are currently more supportive of a cutter?
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