Jump to content

Maestrobjwa

Members
  • Posts

    8,864
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Maestrobjwa

  1. Gonna be really interesting to see if it at least holds onto this idea (or even grows on it!)
  2. Sounds like the phase solution is the only thing that will keep those of us north of DC in the game!
  3. Already? Is there a correlation between cutters going into Dec and cutters the rest of the winter?... I mean...does having rainy coastal in the fall have any bearing for the propensity for snowy ones later on?
  4. I'm always bothered when I see those years that were crappy winters in my neck of the woods used...all 4 of those were crap (as in no snow, lol) Please tell there's something different about this year! (how were the AO/NAO and such those years?) Now some of the years you threw out...57-58, 2002, 2014 were great!
  5. BWI: 11/15--1.7 inches 2018-19 Season Total So Far: "1.7"
  6. Now when you say "here" I take it you're talking about your area? (NM?) I live in the Mid-Atl which is why I have a particular interest in the ENSO!
  7. So just to clarify...which end of the spectrum are you saying we're closer to? Those Novembers that were warm in the NE? (And what implications could that have going forward?)
  8. So in other words...this winter may be a colder El Niño since we had a La niña last year? (Do you have any data to show on that correlation?)
  9. No, not strong! You don't wanna flip that coin between a possible one-hit wonder-like winter (2015-16, 1982-83) or no no snow at all (1972-73, 1997-98)...Moderate is best! And really...perhaps when it's weaker, you still can get more moderate events...that's something, at least...most weak-moderate Niños seem to hit average snowfall...
  10. So if it becomes less like those years...then what years would it resemble instead? (Of course I'm asking since those other years were great for my region, lol)
  11. The 54 inches of rain on the year are just a mirage...lol
  12. Blech...(for those in the mid-Atlantic, that is!) Expectations lowered...but I wonder if this is a transitional year, and we get an El Niño next year? (Has it worked like that before?)
  13. Er...Wonder if that means that a neutral may end up being the final result? (And that perhaps winter of 19-20 will be El Niño?)
  14. *Eric Webb (I just looked him up...couldn't find him at first until I saw "Webb", lol)
  15. Sir please try and elaborate when you make posts like this...what are you basing this prediction on? (And how are you so sure this early?)
  16. So at this point...best we can hope for is a weak Niño, perhaps? (For the winter, that is...)
  17. Oof...Man it's been hard to get El Niño to show up! Two Nina's and a neutral...Okay, Winter 19-20 we'd have to be due for it to come back, right??? C'mon!
  18. Was gonna respond to your post (about coming back from church and seeing the GFS go poof, lol) but didn't want to run the thread off the rails...

    It always helps me to remember...it all comes from Him (even weather we get "disappointed" with) It is an interesting dichotomy of having an emotional investment in this hobby yet being a believer, isn't it? 

×
×
  • Create New...