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Maestrobjwa

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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa

  1. Even the more experienced posters on here usually do, lol (he literally labels his Twitter feed as "annoyingly esoteric"...and that it is!)
  2. Wonder what's more liky to improve the the snow chance next week: A transient 50/50 from one of the waves, or blocking up top (or is the blocking/no blocking part of it already set in stone?)
  3. I dont even know what trend we need anymore now a days. Just a snow trend I guess! A transient 50/50 is something to look for, I believe...
  4. No, it didn't come true...why? Because it hasn't happened yet and we're 7+ days away!!!
  5. Indeed, so to summarize, here's what we DO know: A. A big kahuna of moisture will likely be coming at us next Tues-Wed, and B. It will be cold to start Beyond we just don't know and are gonna have to be patient while all the chaotic activity sorts itself out. That fair to say? Lol
  6. Yeah I was gonna say that I was wondering if there was a scenario where one of the first two waves acts as a 50/50 as it departs...
  7. Noticed the same thing...get that high to trens stronger the next few runs and we might be even more in business!
  8. Now looking under the hood, what has room to trend in our favor to make this a mostly snow event? (Stronger 50/50? And would we have to pull off a colder solution without a -NAO?)
  9. Just one? Well, if we had to choose 1/3 then I'd much rather it be the big one, then! I'd totally sacrifice the other two for that one if need be...lol I'm gonna lean on 1899/1979 history and go for the big kahuna...(not ignoring the first two, but...ya know)
  10. And that's the interesting thing here...regardless of snow or mix solutions, that moisture bomb has been showing up on both the Euro and Gfs pretty consistently the last couple days!
  11. Yeah that was my question...ICON did the same thing, lol
  12. Whoa what happened? Did it not get above freezing even in Balt. City last night? (Just waking up, lol Was surprised to see even the city schools closed, lol)
  13. Not "going" any way right now...one run, lol And the 50/50 position we certainly can't predict yet! But you know all this, of course
  14. 90% mix Then that's okay for now...We are still at day 9 (although it doesn't feel like it, lol
  15. So this run for next week is...rain, miss, or mix? Lol
  16. Now that's what I've had a question about: you see the models show back edge snow on some of these cutters...yet we don't see it often this winter. Why do they show that? (But seeing as it's still showing up this close...maybe it's possible?)
  17. If the coastal idea is still there by Wednesday or Thursday...and if we're still tracking potential for the weekend by then...I do hope this site has it's servers prepared, lol
  18. Canadian seems to show a similar progression on the same day (except it's more rain this run). Wonder what the Euro is gonna spit out? Lol
  19. No kidding--Pretty much the wild wild east on the models today--total free-for-all, lol
  20. From the discussions on here I was under the same impression (don't tell me there's some "wait but it can't be there THIS way" fine print there too, lol)
  21. Man who the heck keeps stickin' a weenie algorithm in the FV3?? XD I swear it feels like some snow weenie weather tech somewhere is just makin' it do this on purpose, lolol I mean 18z was just over the top!!
  22. If we post every snowmap from every model run (particularly for next week), this thread won't last the week! I mean...I don't see the sense in torturing ourselves this way tbh. Way too much goin' on right now!
  23. I heat ya...It's like watching your football team being down by two scores with 7 minyes left...and knowing ya gotta make the most of every opportunity, lol And model run volatility just makes being patient even harder! But, steady as she goes...we could be heading into our best position of the winter; buckle up!
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