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Maestrobjwa

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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa

  1. Maestrobjwa
    Now if we end up with an entire winter of -AO/-NAO...I mean it's gotta be the solar minimum, right? We haven't had practically wall-to-wall -AO/-NAO since 2009/10...which, oh btw, was also a year after the solar minimum? Lol If February indeed works out well, I'll be even more convinced!
  2. Maestrobjwa
    We do...just not during prime climo, lol
  3. Maestrobjwa
    I see...Well the good news is that at least, barring a complete catastrophe, we can score on at least one end in case the coastal fails...so the thump is the cushion!
  4. Maestrobjwa
    I find this inverse relationship interesting...every run that has a weaker thump has a better coastal result...stronger thump, worse coastal, lol
  5. Maestrobjwa
    Now let's see if that translates to a better CCB, lol
  6. Maestrobjwa
    I'm usually not that into the whole absurd digital snow thing...but in this case I've gotta save this image: A snow map with a 35" bullseye over Baltimore City is hilariously epic!! Hahaha That's legendary right there!
  7. Maestrobjwa
    @Bob Chill I'm actually don't 100% know the most likely outcome for my yard...lol I mean I'm assuming I'm in a pretty decent spot for the CCB...maybe being right on the fringe of said plastering, perhaps? Has the bay ever played a role in the moisture for this kind of setup?
  8. Maestrobjwa
    Ah so you didn't get in on the Jan 2019 snowfall either? I know DC got a foot but fringed north, lol
  9. Maestrobjwa
    I ain't used to seeing all these Baltimore jacks on the clown maps, lolol That was crazy!
  10. Maestrobjwa
    Oooh and it looks to be an STJer, doesn't it?
  11. Maestrobjwa
    And yet that helped the CCB! Look What an inverse relationship
  12. Maestrobjwa
    Wait isn't warning level 5"? Lol
  13. Maestrobjwa
    Ah so there IS an inverse relationship? Lol (somewhat, at least?)
  14. Maestrobjwa
    Had that in the back of my brain as I was typing it...shoot. So we gonna need the CCB in order to achieve the recently elusive 5" warning level criteria? Oof
  15. Maestrobjwa
    Well, in this case, at least we have the WAA...as long as nothing negative happens with that, many of us get out of this with warning criteria, hopefully. As much as we'd love to have double digits, if we gotta fail with the CCB, 6-8" isn't a bad consolation prize!
  16. Maestrobjwa
    I think part of it is because this whole setup and the various scenarios between the WAA and the CCB is kinda confusing (I mean it is for me, at least), so it's a little hard to know where your yard is at outside of the snowfall maps themselves.
  17. Maestrobjwa
    Okay, I understand that...but what I'm saying is, does a weaker WAA mean an earlier coastal? Or are they not connected like that?
  18. Maestrobjwa
    Alright I'm confused here...we're seeing more favorable trends with the coastal/CCB, right? Now, is there some kind of inverse relationship with the WAA for areas like yours? (Apologies...just trying to visualize the scenarios here)
  19. Maestrobjwa
    Baltimore City pummeled, lol
  20. Maestrobjwa
    So...are you saying that we can benefit from even more relaxation of that vort over NE? So in a way it's like the opposite...suppression issues show up as "north" and not south? In other words, a further relaxation of that vort would produce a more of a "south"--in a good way--solution? *head spinning*
  21. Maestrobjwa
    I too was wondering about your well being--but as long as you were okay, I totally respected whatever your reasons for not being on here. Thanks for your post of explanation--I think your reasoning is something we all need to keep in mind with this hobby: taking inventory of just how much time we are putting into this vs real life!
  22. Maestrobjwa
    We were just worrying about suppression 12 hrs ago...lol Like psu said, there is definitely a limit to how far north things get. That confluence is definitely there...but just weak enough to help, hopefully.
  23. Maestrobjwa
    That's what I'm saying, lol Is it really worth parsing (pr panicking over) the details of it right now?
  24. Maestrobjwa
    BOB!!! Good to see ya sir!! I knew it!! I said the other day that you may have been waiting for a legit threat to be on the doorstep before you popped back in...and here you are!! Lol Welcome back!!
  25. Maestrobjwa
    Question: Why are ensembles no longer useful once we get this close to an event?
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