Maestrobjwa

We oughta make a show called "That's So Nina" Lol Early January: check Southeast MD jack: check All is functioning predictably!

Hey yo!! THE Uccellini cited the WDI (we're due index)...I feel validated, lol It is herby canon!

Low pressure system with a lot of moisture coming cleanly from the south in a nina...yeah that always works out, lol

If it were possible, I'd repost this on top of every page. I think we forget this like...a lot!

Now I'm still curious about 2016. Now is it just coincidence that things have been screwy (especially with the pac) since that super niño...or did it like break something? Lolol

And even the legendary 2009-10 winter had mild, mid-50s Christmas with rain that washed the snow away...lol Now what about temperatures in December during ninas? I had thought the front end of ninas tended colder...but I'm guessing not so much?

Heck yeah Hey last month somebody dared me to start the thread...now I'm even more tempted, lol

Oh yeah? What happened with that?

Don't know about the first part...I think everybody may need a moderate. Already saw weak kinda fail 2018-19 because of the pac (losing hope quickly for improvement there!)...I'd like to see what happens with a stronger one.

Interesting...lol

Yeah the reaper iconography always kept me out of that thread...lol But honestly what good did the thread do, though? Certainly didn't help anybody process anything. We're like...facing the loss of something here. The snowstorms we used to be able to track occasionally. It's a change...and accepting a new reality. I'm mad at the weather, really. It doesn't owe me a thing, but I'm still mad at it, lol At one time it gave some joy during the winter...but now it's just depression. I take no pleasure in warm winter days nor in cold rain. We have 9-10 other months of the year for that. But now we're forced to accept we cannot get bigger snow anymore (or at least not as often--if you can call our previous 3-4 above average winters a decade often, lol) It will be not that much different than Southern VA or NC, imo. But this is the new reality we MIGHT be facing...and I for one am having a hard time accepting it and not being ticked off about it whenever I think about it. It literally ruins the mood sometimes, smh

If that were a real thing I'd be tempted to invest, lol

Looking up articles about that dang Hadley Cell I'm growing to despise...I guess this "poleward expansion" isn't something that just...reverses itself?

I notice your exclamation points=worry on your end...lol And you're trying your best not to saw the w (warming) word... Pac issue is a legit concern for future snow...5 years? Tell me why we shouldn't be concerned when we've seen no improvement, or why it's illogical to say that this could be a bigger problem. I'm telling ya...I think a mod-strong El Niño might be that last experiment to see if that's the one ENSO that can overcome this persistent problem. If that doesn't work...ruh-roh.

So it's been bad for 5 consecutive years...hm...would like to see if that's happened before...

How long has it been since the Pacific was actually good/not too bad?

Unfair assessment. Literally on the sideline with the players talking to them about it...that's not ego. Harbs is the opposite of ego--which is one of the many reasons why the players love him. Now if you accuse him of anything it's not trusting the secondary against Ben or Rodgers. No guarantee you get the ball back on the coin toss. You think the stoppin' Rodgers again? I think against the Steelers it was about not having Humphrey--I don't think we stop Ben in OT. Second time was a hit questionable...but I question the play design more than the decision to go for 2.

How do the high latitudes affect whether the ENSO is nina or Nino? Or is it more about how high latitude warming affects the atmospheric response? I remember folks saying the 2018-19 weak Niño never "coupled" to the atmosphere. Is that an example of what you're referring to?

Ya know I had asked a question awhile ago about why warming wouldn't equate to warmer waters in the ENSO...but then someone rather sharply brought to my attention that enso state--water temperatures--are basically wind-driven. Now my question then is...if trade winds and such drive enso, I wanna know why they've been more nina the the last 6 years than nino.

Starting to think that during "pattern chase" times, it might be better to step away from here. Looking at pattern prognostications every day when the immediate 1-2 weeks has nothing going on can be bad for the snow-loving brain... Heh...I know we got the panic room, but I've been saying for awhile that we oughta have a thread to talk about literal coping mechanisms. When it's going bad, some (including me) don't always handle it well. Winters would be happier if it didn't depend so much on snow. Ya could learn how to be content in snow or out of snow...and enjoy the snow when it comes...but that there is the hard part. Some on here have figured out the secret...but I know I'm still working on it...(obviously).

Now am I over-generalizing...or do the front half of nina winters tend to be more cold than warm?

Not even close. We're 8-6 despite everything...that alone says a lot

In response to this part...I definitely would not say any storm--especially not in a nina, lol Coastals tend to be Miller B's in this ENSO state, unfortunately. Better to expect what we saw back in February--and perhaps we can get some front end. Now yeah a clipper pattern can work in a nina (I think). But there are other elements that occur in the short term that we just can't nail down this far out. Fwiw, my developing philosophy (at least for this winter) is just to always have the current enso state and it's tendencies in mind.

Beautiful. I wish I had saved some screenshots!

Kinda average to a little above up here...23.1"...and 12 of that came in March, lol