Maestrobjwa

Yeah I'm losing confidence in having enough thermals for any immediate follow wave(s). Seems like that's been the report for several runs now, lol

Oh dang Jodh Allen got MVP!! That's great, actually...and now we don't have to hear Bills fans complain about that anymore, lol

Dang y'all old, lol Although lately I'm noticing the earliest signs of both hair thinning and graying...and I'm shook, lol

I've learned to not to assume that until ya see what happens next, lol

Yeah it was foggy even here--I wasn't expecting that! Lookin' like Sleepy Hollow, lol

It was 120 hrs out before I said one concern, so...

I'd love to get a good crack at that...especially IF the PDO is finally turning around. Btw...anybody have any thoughts on that? I'm a little unclear on how we'll know that we're in a better cycle of that.

Well, well

This may sound funny, but labeled maps like are actually helpful to us amateurs that sometimes struggle with 500mb

Now, I can't speak to what the GFS totals were as I was somewhere where I couldn't see that. I just didn't want to see a trend to a 2-4" deal because of that low. But I guess that added to the whining, lol

I am not, lol But listen, you get fringed as much as we have over 6 years I think occasional bouts of frustrated posts oughta be understandable (although his are more frequent than mine)

My concern is that low trends stronger as we get closer, and thus things get warmer than this run. I mean yeah as is I'd take that in a second! As long as it doesn't get worse and turn into another advisory slop event like the cmc seems to be heading towards.

That low up there is gonna be a pain I'm telling ya. Seen this too many times (talking about you March 2018)

Man it's that stupid low that came outta nowhere and is now on all 3 globals. See...that kind of random bad luck stuff seems to happen more on weekdays

I wanna be annoyed at being fringed with 7" and not 12 but...seeing as I haven't measured that much in years I'd take it, lol (and the fact that this is Day 6 with us on the boundary)

I wouldn't if I were you, Iol

Well then who the heck is gonna kick people out?

In a Nina February? Absolutely.

I'm glad my amateur thinking was in line with an expert When I saw that first wave be that weak I kinda figured the second one would be less disrupted. So back to the weenie rule of rooting for one wave to fail so the next one is even better?

Yeah yesterday's collective model head fake at 12z was nasty work, lol It was hard to ignore...but this was a rare occaison where I guess they all made the same mistake. Ah well...what's a little more model run delirium to shake off, eh?

Well lately the whole thing has largely been bunk. Just talking about how things worked prior to this 9-year -PDO (and whatever else) disaster stretch. Things seem to be a little better this year...

On this part I think you misunderstand me. I would be ecstatic if it happened. But I just don't like to bet on post PD for bigger snows because it just doesn't happen often enough. I just don't trust it, tbh. Yeah you could point to an example here or there, but we have more hits in prime climo than outside of it! So it's more of a confidence thing...I'd rather take a swing for a 6"+ during the historically best calendar period for snow than to try for afterward. Feels like ya have a better chance! But this isn't scientific though, lol As far as next week is concerned, I'm not at all giving up on snow prospects. Though admittedly I did lose a little interest for Tues-Wed. Hey we do better with warning events on weekends anyway (another weird historical quirk we have around here)

Just a shame we couldn't get the expected setup for that window earlier! Been awhile since we timed something bigger in our best window (mid Jan--PD). The 6"+ outside those dates are too few and far between for me to not feel that "too late!" feeling. But I guess it'll be something if we can score some minor events...

You taking that from Job? Lol

Funny how not a one of those look like the op, lol