Maestrobjwa
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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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Why is it exhausting? It's not like we've seen this pattern get can-kicked or anything (have we?). It's always been after next week, right?
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It's was more that trend of the last three eps runs that made me suspicious. You saw the QPF field shift south and get drier. Ot just feels like one of those things that always gets worse as you get closer from Day. Yeah I know it's technically too soon to give up, but how many times has a negative like that popped up in the shorter range and not gotten worse? Lol
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Whoa, whoa...y'all are giving up on the pattern change already because of what, exactly?
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Yep--that's why emotionally I'm kinda out on it. I can see this thing trending weaker and weaker/washed out. Better to lower expectations
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That thing PSU and Heisy mentioned about the lead wave trending weaker? I'm telling you man that is not the kind of trend that I expect to reverse itself at this range. And that eps gif someone shared earlier shows 3 runs in a row of that precip shield getting weaker and south. Now if it reverses I'll happily be wrong. But until then I'm already halfway off of this one.
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Eh, I'm starting to lose interest in next week. I'm coming back in here to see what we got afterward
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South and dry may not be what we wanna see though...could be the start of a trend. We'll see...
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3-6" (or less if the trend continues) immediately washed away kinda feels like 0 inches to me. I mean it will be a nice add to the totals, though! But ya really won't have time to enjoy it even as scenery because of the rain in that scenario. Hoping the lead wave prevails!
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It's never been "least likely". But in setup like this, there's some luck involved. In this case it's whatever is influencing the strength of the wave. Not that a higher snow total in this setup isn't realistic, ya just gotta get a bit lucky. Eh...always felt like we had better luck on the weekends anyway
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It could...although seeing the euro go in the weaker direction is a bit of a flag, no? I'd imagine if it still looks weak by 12z tomorrow, then...
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Darn it. Well we'll just have to try and enjoy the 3-6" for what...24 hours? Ehhh...I'd never kick 3-6 outta bed except in that scenario because it's basically a prolonged thump to rain.
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Shame on you for transferring our insanity onto the poor doggo And hey when it comes to whiplash...I feel like this level of shifting is still more tame than other threats when ya had full blown model wars!
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Cava, huh? Never heard of them, but I pass by that way often doing my gig work with BCPS--I may check them out sometime!
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Apparently they were south of the op according to a couple posters...
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Maaaan what's wrong with ya? Ya really want that?
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If PSU honks in the middle of a thread, and nobody is around to hear it...does it make it snow?
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Who's spiking the football? Run-to-run changes are being discussed as always...right now it's been good trends. But we all know there's still a ways to go in model time.
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I'm telling ya that imaginary wall seems to want to hang on for dear life here but doesn't succeed--hey maybe it's days are numbered And dang it this is another situation where I'm living 7-10 mins south of Towson and I have no clue how OCD to be about snowmap output...my house is always right where the divergent line is, lol
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PBP Randy you are not
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I prefer Beethoven with the wild hair! I often FEEL like I have with longer wild hair about Beethoven length so yes As an aside...Beethoven hair fragments still exist in collections to this very day!
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Best part of waking up is Euro in your cup?
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Well it's mostly free, so...lol
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While part of me wants to cringe given how this logic didn't help me last month...given the SER that's trying to push it may actually be a thing this time.
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Yes I was just looking at that. Folks chided me a little earlier when I said those GL lows thar show up mid-range cna end up being a real pain. Now of course, this is indeed one run, and the strength of that low is a fine detail that won't be resolved yet. And everything else is more amplified (waiting on the euro) and not nearly that far south so far.
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Seems like it's getting more complicated instead of simpler. These wave interactions might not be resolved until Sunday or Monday at this rate, lol
