Maestrobjwa

You'd think there's some kind of quota they try to fill each year, smh

I wouldn't say LONG overdue...don't forget DC south got the slider in 2019 that gave them a foot! 2018 the beaches had the bomb cyclone

Miraculously it got it right for once, lol

Yeah nina cheese will do that to ya...

It was having problems on 18z too...might be an issue

Well yeah I pretty much knew that...but still annoying, lol

I swear somebody is pullin' the strings on that thing just to troll weenies, lol

That's a little over 3x what I got, lolol

Yep...I know folks say that "oh that's just climo", and while it is true that we've had mediocre stretches, this is the longest since the time between 1988 and 1993. Our other stretches since then were are at least slightly broken up by a great event (i.e. Jan 25, 2000, Feb. 2006). So this has been kinda bad even for our climo. Now, I blame that partly on the fact that 4 of the last 6 winters have been ninas, and in none of those were we able to fluke our way into even a single warning-level event. I don't care what the official numbers say...Ninas SUCK. They can deceive in the snow records by farting out enough penny and nickel events to not be total shutouts and even get to median. But they remain the most difficult ENSO state for any higher-than-advisory level snowfall for Baltimore. And this season we've seen thar even with an unusual stj, it hasn't been enough most of the time! Nown the older heads here have more of a frame of reference for what we've seen: the period between 1970 and 1978, lol An extended stretch of mediocrity also brought to you by 4 la ninas...along with a Super niño (72-73) that was so strong it overwhelmed everything! But us youngins' ain't got that reference, lol I mean, the good news is...this winter has shown that we can still get arctic cold, and certainly enough cold to snow. You'd hope if we can get a Niño to work we can have a better shot at something deeper!

Was just about to post this, lol Yep...it broked (my spelling) at possibly interesting part

What the leprosy is this?

Ya ain't wrong. Albeit even medication can only go so far...gotta get to the root of the obsession. When ya got folks that actually have lives still get hung up over snow...ya know it goes deep, lol If some of us don't learn to just let go, it will indeed emotional energy wasted. I know I for one am tired of dealing with this every year. But it doesn't start with the weather models it starts in the mind. I know I for one can feel the addictive part of this coming as soon as there's a threat. But the key is what happens after that. When it comes...can you let go? Can you just let the weather do what it does? When the models honk at a threat, what are the steps to take to not...get too attached? So that if the threat trends unfavorably, or goes poof, there's not that emotional hangover, nor angst on the Zs? All questions I'm certain not all of us have mastered yet. Going from needing it to snow to wanting it to snow could be part of it. I'd be willing to bet we could do an untrained group therapy on here, lol Ain't nobody else experienced it like some of us...why not talk about it sometime? (Not in the mid/long range threads, but somewhere else).

Yeah but I haven't heard anybody say anything about any cold for next month. Isn't the MJO gonna go into the warmer phases anyway?

Screw it I'm all in. Got nothin' to lose and I'm goin' for broke! If anything pops up in the next few days I might even start the thread! Lol Like I said, nothin' to lose. It would be the last thing worry tracking till' next winter anyway so...let's go!

Ask for @WinterWxLuvr...I officially pass the buck back, lol I did not start this...a few weeks ago I just asked one question for more clarity and the who debate blew up!

Yeah the D10 PD weekend period is what I was thinking about. I don't even consider anything beyond PD weekend anyway, lol I'll track whatever until then as this winter's last hoorah!

Any more potential the next 10 days or so?

Yeah I can't stand them either...I'm emetophobic as heck and they always bother me!

I think 12z this morning were where expectations were set, lol 12z would be the max, perfect scenario...but this wouldn't be too bad.

And 0z GFS may be your noisy alarm clock...lol

Now see that wouldn't work for me...winter is supposed to be wintry. 70s in January would be awful. Now the folks that live there either love warm weather, or have lived there their entire lives, so they don't mind. But I'm not sure how you could be a snow lover yet move somewhere where snow and cold isn't even possible...no way, lol

Maybe it's just that the way ninas snow is in little spits and spurts that, on paper, can get "close to median" a la the 2017-18 winter. But in terms of actual events they are less likely to produce heavier snows. So it's kind of a net loss even if the numbers on paper show something better. In Nina’s there's still more junk in the way if ya ask me!

And right on cue the 18z Euro improves, lolol Only thing that would break the cycle we've been in is the 0z gfs making a comeback and the Euro 0z improving or at least holding!

Gotta believe you guys oughta make up some ground eventually!