Maestrobjwa
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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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It looks like a child got ahold of a red and blue gel pack and smooshed their fingers all in it, lol
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It's Mappy anniversary and snow is blue...if it comes it shall be the Mappy- Avatar storm
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Around here probably somewhere in the middle...so in a word: Yes
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We're watching PSU get more cynical by the year But seriously I get ya...the way we've been goin' the last 6-7 years you almost look for it
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What I gather from this (and what I've seen the last few years) is...that the TPV does is difficult to predict in general, isn't it?
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2021-2022 ENSO
Maestrobjwa replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
As long as it's not TOO strong! That happened in the 70s...2 back-to-back ninas, followed by a super niño that overwhelmed everything...that in turn lead to 2 more la ninas after it, lol I'd like to think we can avoid that again, but who knows? -
You might have to share credit with Avatar 2
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One of the first weenie quotations I ever saw when I found this site in Winter 2014 was: "Wam, bam, thank you NAM!" Why that sticks out to me I have no clue, but yep...that was the start of the descent into the madness
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-NAO looks to relax somewhat around the 15th-18th period on both the gefs and the eps. Would love to time that up with a more neutral PNA. Thinkin' about that chart DonSutherland1 shared the other day. Had some hits with the PNA just below or just above neutral! Of course, we need other details to get right, of course...but that would be a good start!
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He was clearly trying his hardest not to say it was dumb, lol See Harbs is a good dude and loyal to his friends...but unfortunately, to a fault sometimes! Man I hope he can muster up the courage to do what we did in 2012. Cam Cameron was a good friend of his too...but he did it!
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Speaking of H5...Are there any sites with any guides on how to read that?
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I'd only take that if we could get a Jan 2016 redux, lol That's literally the only reason I have a SLIGHTLY positive association with Christmas 2015 because of what happened later, lol
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Anybody have a chart for the Dec. 2009 setup? Curious how that one overcame December climo (particularly given how warm even Niños tend to be warmer to start)
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That's a nice-sized yard!
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Yep--day after the first Avatar came out, and Mappy's wedding, lol
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I'm learning more and more that at this range all you wanna look for is what's happening up top. Had a gut feeling about that timeframe (either that or I'm biased because I'd love a Dec 2009 redux), but for right now we just wanna see if we can get the better pattern first! 18z gefs seemed to show some improvement.
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Agreed. Cannot see how a Roman offense goes deep in the playoffs. C'mon Harbs...he said back in 2013 that firing Cam Cameron was the hardest thing he ever had to do as a coach. But c'mon you HAVE to do the same here!
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For the life of me I don't know why we won that game, lolol But I am happy we did! Sometimes wins like that mean something later on...but we shall see
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But dang it I needed Bam Knight to score there, lol
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Now to see if it moves up in time...
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Nice thread on the -NAO and PV
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Very good, lol And so very true!
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I know I get the weenie tag for saying "Does a niño still work", but this is why I am genuinely curious about what will happen in our next legit niño (2018/19 is hard for me to count because it was a bit of a wimp strength-wise). To see just what those look like with where we are now climate-wise.
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Even to my amateur eyes that -NAO...at least what we've seen so far, seems like it wants to be pretty stout. Not like it's been kinda tepid/neutral. Even in the models showing the pac not being as good, the -NAO is still going strong. Now of course...that's this month so we'll have to see.
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Yes this is what makes it more difficult discern just based on snowfall totals. And the question has always been what the difference is between say a mediocre run in the 50s by nature of said variability, vs a mediocre run today. Climo vs climate, lol
