Maestrobjwa

I ain't even been paying it much attention...I'm tracking the pattern change more than anything else. I mean if this one surprises, great! But otherwise...eh on the ensembles, lol

Au contrare...don't want it any more amplified than that lest it be too warm

Am I being too simplistic I'm just looking at the status of tbd SE ridge? I mean for me I'm encouraged that we haven't seen any resurgence in the long range models (at least not to hr 384, lol). I mean since that's been our biggest issue this winter...but someone could enlighten me. Edit: Yeah I see it tried to flex again at the end of the 0z eps run...

What are you lookin' at, exactly? No can kick on the pattern change...SE ridge still getting beaten down...But if you're talking about getting anything before that then no the football wasn't exactly there in the first place as the pattern would be only just starting to shift!

Man it's hour 240 on an op sheeeesh (and btw that's a good sign because the STJ is active)

Stratocrats vs Nowarmlicans?

Thought this was relevant for up here

Thanks for putting this together! Hey, this mid-atlanticer likes those analogs Will share in home forum, lol

Yeah we were just starting to get better vibes in here again, lol Let's please just focus on the now as much as we can.

For me nothing will top 09/10--particularly the twins because of just how frickin' rare and unprecedented (in modern times, at least) that was! I mean wow

No clue why we get so stuck on stuff in here...like, sheesh! Maybe the snow weenie brain likes to argue or somethin', lol

Never could there be to pictures of character further apart than this...lol

And on the blue-stingy GFS, no less

Actually...I was thinking about the warm SSTs and how a but of a cooling off might help

Another question...(this may be more for @WxWatcher007: Do tropical/extra-tropical storms cool down SSTs once they pass through?

December was a bit below average temp wise I see...but ain't January usually cold? I mean the last few nina Januarys have been, anyway.

This has been a Nina winter. No doubt About it. Warm wet followed by short loved cold. Lack of pna...cutters...+10 in January...etc Now I was under the impression that Ninas were usually colder on the front end. Not so?

That's my thinking as well. I mean last year was the definition of overachieving, lol Yeah we need another year to really establish ourselves...And I think we need at least another year to compete with this monster division!

Yeah I mean this thing ain't acted like a nina all winter...when Chill said the winter had "spoken" I was like...what the frickle is it saying? Lol Despite ground result being 0 inches so far, it's been a lot of mixed signals...particularly as we head through January here. Not sure anybody can be certain yet where it's gonna go given what you just mentioned.

Yeah but usually that's a cutter pattern ain't it? Lol And besides, I'm not so sure the STJ just disappears like that so easily...still plenty of time to figure out this pattern change!

Absolutely--just get on the board, lol

12z Euro a tad colder with the Day 7 thing (got a bit of a high to the north this run)

Gonna say Ravens. Defense is definitely playoff ready and have been trending upward since October. I mean the fact that we even made the playoffs at all speaks to how good they have been despite this dumpster fire on offense! I think Mike McDonald is doing a great job turning this defense around (just avoid the last second meltdowns and they're good, lol). With this defense, a--PRAYERFULLY--healthy Lamar, and an OC that actually has a clue and can get the offense to at least respectable if not better...we can make the playoffs again.

Yeah even to my novice eyes guidance seems to be sniffing out some kind of shift in pattern (how long it lasts who knows). I mean for once you're seeing that dang se ridge finally relax some and the look seems to be moving up in time. Hope we can get SOMETHING outta that...Yeah I'm a big storm hunter, but given this winter...just gettin' on the frickin' board would be better than where we've been! We shall see...

Yeah I gotcha. Man we ain't gotten somethin' to slide under us like that in forever--would be nice, lol