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Maestrobjwa

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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa

  1. Yeah but again though...given this year? I have my doubts...what, is the dang SER gonna just suddenly disappear at the start of March? Lol I mean I know the nina is on the way out, but even still...ehh
  2. I have muted expectations...but just going off of history...even we aren't THAT mediocre. If we can't break through with something big, I'd bet we'll get something where we measure just enough not to break that futility record, haha
  3. Hard to believe we get absolutely shut out. I mean...even our lowest year at 0.7" managed 0.5" of those in January, lol
  4. Now I did see that...wasn't sure how to interpret what was going on with the pacific and whether that was a bit of a +PNA or something else unrelated.
  5. Now listen...even in all my neurosis about snow, one thing even I don't do too much is take a LR op run as pure gospel. C'mon y'all, lol
  6. I mean the Euro solution we ain't seen all winter (have we?) I mean that SE ridge ain't surrendered to quite that extent save the temporary arctic front Christmas Eve/Day. So you'd think the solution would be either the GFS or something between that and the euro control...
  7. Nah not sayin' that either...but I'd argue for an exception in winters like this one. Clemency for extraordinary circumstances
  8. Except in this case we already know it's been bad, lol It's like once a newspaper reports on a bad situation...after awhile it ain't nothin' else to talk about if there are no further updates. Monday: The building burned down Tuesday: Building still burned down Tuesday (a month later): Building is still burned, lol (wow what an update!)
  9. Ehh nah...I don't know. Good analysis is good analysis. I mean some analyzers on here may say it looks awful and then don't say a lot if it still look awful...and pop back in when it gets better, lol But don't be perplexed when ya get the dead horse reaction though...You can only hear the same bad thing everyday (even when it's true) before it's like "Yes, yes I know I KNOW!" (Like when a family member nags ya, lol)
  10. I don't think anybody is asking you to do that, man. The "dead horse" effect is there because I think everybody knows how bad it's been and how hard it is to snow this year. Don't gotta lie (wouldn't want ya to) but like...if there's no good news to report...sometime it's better not to have the reminder and just get an update if/when it gets better (I know that's what some posters do on here. If it's bad ya don't hear from 'em as much, lol) Maybe I'm wrong for thinking that, though...
  11. Yeah I gotcha just havin' a little fun, lol But I'm glad other more experienced posters are saying what I rather unsuccessfully tried to say the other day. Like we know the reality, but that don't mean we gotta rehash and rehash. Nothing at all against good analysis--but I think everybody is worn out, and if there be even a slight chance it's better to focus on that than the other (even if it don't work out).
  12. So now we got dueling analyses from two top posters! Prof. CAPE vs. Prof PSU. Round 1z: Predict!
  13. Speaking of that...am I hallucinating or have the GEFS and EPS been trying to pop a temporary + PNA in our little window next weekend (that is the 3rd-5th)? Also...I seem to recall some previous analogs that indicated that heavy blocking in December correlated to it's return sometime later that winter. Of course, who knows if analogs still work anymore, lol...but just wondering.
  14. You're absolutely right (and thank you) I'm gonna move past this...not sure how long it's gonna take or what it'll take, but one way or another I'll get past it. And to your point the other day: yes therapy is an option I'm considering. Kinda embarrassing, but if that be part of the healing process, I'm open to it (no stranger to that process, actually...just been a good decade)
  15. I was referring more to the period afterward. Way, way out in time, obviously. Like here's the eps for Friday: Now see...can we keep it like that closer in? We oughta know by this weekend.
  16. Only question is can the SE ridge actually flatten out long enough...would love to see the flatter/weaker look of that NOT trend stronger as we get closer. If it don't then hey we in the game.
  17. Man I guess when it stopped in 2009 it spit out Snowmageddon and then said "alright that oughta last y'all for awhile", lol
  18. "So weather weenie you don't have the discipline to take a break? Well we'll MAKE you take one!"
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