Maestrobjwa

I would take tonight's runs in a heartbeat. The problem is...worry about the future ones. Blip or trend? There's fear of the future ones continuing further and further north.

Is 6-10" of snow too much to ask? Lol I think I will take even that even if sounded by sleet afterward.

This is what I'm afraid of. I'd be perfectly fine with the thump depicted on the EURO/CMC. But all sleet would be a real punch in the stones because that STILL wouldn't end the snow drought. Hoping things level off today.

Synopticqlly, is there room for this to amplify even more?

Yeah and again...as long as it doesn't go any MORE amped than this, we can still get something really good despite the sleet. And I think we'll know by this time tomorrow. If we can't get at least 8" out of this that's just plain ol' bad luck and just wasn't meant to be.

Earlier start time?

He's a kid.

So all the models went north and amped...I don't even wanna know what they're gonna look like by 12z tomorrow. I don't mind sleet mixed in at the end. But what I am afraid of seeing is this becoming mostly sleet or worse.

It's the trend that could be the issue.

For those of us who aren't good at reading these maps...a few words of explanation would be appreciated

From the NYC thread but relevant for us as well in regards to the Ukie solution:

I knew somebody was gonna do that, lol

It was a really big jump. I mean...we legit don't know if that's the northern extent or not--it's just Tuesday night.

I am too. I mean this is Tuesday...this thing has enough time to trend all the way to mostly sleet at this rate!

Bruh I swear if this thing trends all rhe way to being pure sleet and ice... You gotta wonder if the models got new data this evening because these aren't just ticks north but a big jump.