Maestrobjwa

I thank you for that and those links with great info and visuals--it's already starting to make more sense. Just that lottle hit goes a long way

Bed? Gufaw...I don't go to bed till 3 am buddy so I got 4.5 hours So rule of thumb for the forum all ye laymen...don't ask any questions--Google But honestly, though...a glossary of abbreviations would help as well. I may start a thread and folks can add to it (though it does seem like someone in another thread did something similar but not sure where it was)

Wow. Man I still don't fully understand what CAPE is, admittedly. I mean I see it's important for severe--what does it stand for? (Before someone sarcastically tells me to Google it I at least gotta know that, lol)

Bruh...still having thunder and lightning with this train!

The clusters of slightly more severe storm that came right over the area earlier combined with this train have resulted in quite the soaker here in northern Balt. City...probably been a couple years since we had this much at once--much needed, I'm sure! Training and training along right now, lol

The clusters of slightly more severe storm that came right over the area earlier combined with this train have resulted in quite the soaker here in northern Balt. City...probably been a couple years since we had this much at once--much needed, I'm sure! Training and training along right now, lol

What exactly is that?

Solid downpour here in the city. Definitely hearing thunder! Looks like I happened to get under a dot, lol

Not giving me hope in the slightest...we know who this team is--and there has been a good deal of luck involved (especially yesterday and Friday( I did not see enough to convince me they're suddenly getting better. And not ot mention we may need to play Boston with Adley and Basallo less than 100% if available, smh This team cannot have good things--everytime something good happens, some negative (typically in the form of an injury) has to happen. 7-game winning streak, extended Bradish...then boom catching duo both injured. That bad "luck" element I put on Elias...I don’t think that will change until he's outta here, lol

Because of Elias/Sig philosophy. Their overuse of analytics, and not enough focus on fundamentals and actually having a winning mindset throughout the organization (major and minors) is a big problem. The fact that Cal has stepped in and become more involved in development is another clue that the problem runs deeper than the players. See, it's become readily apparent how mentally messed up these players are. They are clearly thinking way too much...and I wonder if they are being choked by the analytics. Adley said something a couple months ago about his improvement this year. He said "Simple thoughts at the plate". Where did the complication come from? Holliday's improvements (before the injury--he's pretty much been in spring training mode up until now) came from his dad. The young players clearly had the talent coming up through the minors; there is no way they all simply fail in the same manner unless there is a deeper problem. See, Elias may be all numbers and computers when it comes to the talent he has brought up--and these players simply don't know how to win. We have seen their talent: we see the flashes of it--but of course it's inconsistent. But this inconsistency is not just one player; it's the whole team. How does an entire team, both younger players and veterans, fail in the exact same way 2.5 years in a row? How is the defense of the entire team this awful? How is this out third set of hitting coaches in 4 years, and a new manager, yet the same problem? You have to look at the top. They could be micromanaging things into oblivion. Elias has been pretty good at spotting talent--particularly the bats. But what if...he simply relies on the analytics and kinda just leaves them out there...and did not instill a culture of knowing how to win? That flawed approach would translate into coaches and other personel having all the analytics in the world but no fundamentals, no "this is how you need to play to win". The "Oriole Way" has been missing for several years.

Why do you say? I mean haven't all super ninos kinda been 50/50 boom or bust? As it happens...every other super has produced in the Mid-Atl and NE. 65-66 good, 72-73 bad, 82-83 good, 97-98 bad, 15-16 good (one hit wonder, but still)

Says who? They extended Basallo...and Adley is not gonna completely break the bank. And the thing with the Basallo deal...they basically bought out the arb years and added on a couple. It was an investment but not one that would preclude them from signing Adley as well. And Adley has value with a pitching staff that Basallo doesn't. There is room for both--and this ownership group seems to want to spend more. Holliday is unproven...so why in the world would you sell him right now? You don't know what you have in him yet. He is your 1:1--no way you sell him at age 22. Gunnar is the only one where you may have a case. But here's the thing: To get Yankee or Dodger money he is gonna have to play a lot better. There will be no bidding war right now. And as far as selling him this year... do we really get max value in prospects? Nah. Now if he plays like an MVP next year, and we still suck, then maybe you do it then.

You know why I don't believe it's needed? Because 3-4 more years of losing is the nuclear option--and you don't have to do that to turn this around. You need to fire Elias/Sig and give this org a new philosophy. Talent-wise, It is not broken beyond repair like it was in 2018. Why blow it up and go through that when you have another option to turn it around sooner? Holliday will be here. Gunnar is a maybe (his price got lower this year that's for sure). Adley isn't going anywhere, imo. We had a fire sale last year, did we not? Only thing to sell this year is Ward and maybe Cowser, Kittredge? Definitely not getting rid of Bradish or Baz. Rogers perhaps...but it's really not a lot worth selling.

We don't need a rebuild. The talent is not the problem here...the organizational system is. There are reports of similar issues in the minors too. Not talent, but...philosophy. Gunnar, Holliday, Adley, Basallo...they would all do well elsewhere almost immediately and we'd all be wondering ehy they couldn't do that here. This is why a full tear-down would be a big mistake imo--why do another torturous 3-5 years when there is another option that could fix things in a year or two?

Dismantle front office from top to bottom