Maestrobjwa

I think you're expecting things that the computers are simply not advanced enough for those things not to happen sometimes. Why not just...accept the current limitations/biases and set forecasts/expectations from there instead of railing against the failures as if it's something easy to fix or some conspiracy? Technology simply isn't there yet. NWP (if I'm using that term correctly) is leaps and bounds better than it was 25-30 years ago but it still isn't a crystal ball! (and someone can correct me if I'm off base on any of that).

Not sure of the similarities to now, but...I remember a lot of SE ridge can kicks last year!

Did the SSW actually happen/still on track to happen?

I think he's making a joke about it looking like it says negative 16 inches, lol

I'm not sure EDC deserves to be fired over this. He just needs to fix the dang thing this off-season. Now Harbaugh is another matter

But that would be kinda atypical for a nina, no?

In my amateur opinion...I wouldn't get excited about any winter before it happens--especially in this current cycle of underperformance we've been in with this -PDO. Just keep expectations neutral...it is a nina so you know the potential of those is limited even in better conditions anyway.

Sounds like a very easy, canonical call!

Wut. Man it's too hard to get a Nino it takes forever! Or does a -PDO regime naturally produce more ninas?

That is a beautiful shot--especially the bottom image with the stars. Wow Very inspiring!

Yeah I mean I'm a snow miser like a lot of folks here. I want snow and plenty of it! Why he won't simply admit to being a heat miser when it's so blatantly obvious is beyond me--all our biases are loud and clear

How do I get that map from 2018 through now? That's the time period I really wanna see.

I must be misrembering then. I just know southern half has done better than the northern half of our sub since Dec 2018.. It's not one season but multiple ones since then. Precip boundary has been consistently south of here, hasn't it? NoVa has done better as well...but I could be wrong.

South definitely got more that year. Remember the TX freeze and the snow that came with it?

Oh no it wasn't just one. I'd love to look at the year by year for that. Wouldn't those averages be skewed by the mediocre years? And It's been several times in different areas. I can think of at least 6 years of the last 10 where places south got more. NC in Dec 2018, TX in February 2021, Snow in NO last year. 2019 southern MD getting more from that storm, and again last year--snow events in Alabama! Beach blizzard in...2018 I THINK. What I'm saying is the years that haven't been complete ratters, the south seems to be getting more. And you'd think it would happen less but the amounts have been consistently higher south of Baltimore since 2018 aside from years everybody failed.