Maestrobjwa

Not the 0z AIFS showing another logbook fail on the 24th (and the 0z GFS too to a degree)

Never knew you were a heat miser Chuck, lol

I'm starting to catch your angst over this and I don't like it, lol I'm gonna just pretend a better PDO will save the day...and or simply believe the next Niño will finally deliver our HECS

Blame the perfect track, lol

Awesome, lol Guess it would depend on how much rain we get tomorrow?

What did NC get last winter?

Yeah but you know why we aren't allowed to...people will not behave themselves and things will quickly devolve. Ya already see it in some of these responses. I think the reason for the rule is a conduct issue as opposed to a science one!

Yeah I guess I'm referring more to what NOVA and eve SOVA down Chill's way get. Those waves that are plenty cold enough but get suppressed just so to miss us. Further north boundary...further north snow?

This! @psuhoffman Not sure if your sae my other post, but I was asking about the samw thing: If we're headed for Raleigh climo then suppression would not longer be an issue, right? If the boundary is going further and further north...we should end up getting more southern sliders to hit us, right? Dec 2018 oughta be a hit in that scenario, lol

Read my mind, lol And the snowy ensembles for that storm were right...only reason it wasn't a blockbuster was from a specific wave interaction they couldn't possibly see that far out. I for one have enjoyed the glacier (despite the inconveniences). And I'll always remember this winter for that!

Well let's hope Raleigh climo is still a few decades away...I'm not ready for 55⁰ to be normal in the winter, lol Although...shoot: If that happens the suppression shouldn't be a problem anymore! We oughta be able to get a blizzard the way NC did in that scenario, right? Or the dang December 2018 storm oughta be able to get up here instead of there!

As a fellow 90s kid I remember some of those fails, lol But I do remember more moderate snows of 6-8" as opposed to what we get now...

This here...that's what I had assumed the changed would be. But I don't remember this stuff happening before 2016 or us having discussions about perfect track rainstorms in February. In fact I distinctly remember a snowfall in 2015 where it was 50⁰+ the day before and we were are thermostat watching...and the next day we got several inches! It all just feels sudden to me.

So 2F warmer...did the effects somehow accelerate after 2016? Because I'm sure 2014 or 15 had setups like this that worked, didn't they?

Alright @psuhoffman weenie model or no...THIS is an example of what should be able to happen, right? And even the NAM...low got deeper, solution got colder...