DocATL

I dunno honestly it’s better than cold and dry for me. Then hopefully some rain to wash away the salt. Maybe another chance at some winter the 2nd half of Feb if MJO phase 7 fares better for the Midwest. BAM thinks so. But… it’s BAM.

This may all feel a lot less frustrating when it’s sunny and nearly 60° tomorrow! .

I grew up in Tampa - best time of the year to be there! .

Yeah…unfortunately things looking more precarious now. Clearly, the GEFS at 12z wants no part of that. The European isn’t terrible though. .

I think there was a prevailing thought by some that things would not really be favorable until the 10th or so and that’s now playing out on the models. .

Even next weekend could be interesting. .

Oh it’s definitely going to ridge but these temps look wild. Mid 70’s into Ohio valley. I guess we’ve seen it all this season so who knows. .

GFS really overdoing the ridging IMO .

If we can catch a sunny day or two in the warmer temps, it will at least feel good. .

We’ve got some needles to thread. EPS wants to bleed the cold back east the 2nd week of Feb. .

Curious if that climo period extends out a little further in a Nina? .

That’s a good point. I’ve noticed a lot more noise in models in that range here vs when I lived in the SE and east coast. .

Touché Patience is indeed a virtue, especially this winter. Thing look to get zonal but a bit more active and at least that’s something different.

I could be wrong but if something is popping up on consecutive op runs over a few days, wouldn’t you expect ensemble support? .

Bit of a dud so far in Naperville/western burbs. Maybe we catch a band? .