DocATL

The weird warm advection from the north is the rub. This whole event is pretty bizarre with how it is unfolding. The fujiwara effect of the lows on the models is trippy.

Even juicier at 18z. HRRR also vigorous. Where are you located? .

NAM finally wakes up from its slumber [emoji849] .

I don’t know about you all but I’m riding the ICON FTW. She’s glorious!

This weeks event may be a few token flakes for Chicago and that’s about it. We’ll be threading the needle next week. .

Yeah…it ain’t a thing until the mesoscale models get involved.

18z runs were meh. .

European not eager to get on the west trend just yet so we’ll get a better picture of things over the weekend runs. .

Trending back towards interesting on 18z GFS as the energy transfer happens further west. Going to be a few interesting days of model runs. .

Ensembles show some decent negative anomalies gaining persistence in western Canada. This bodes well in terms of having a good source region for cold. .

18z definitely following the trend there. Good set up for the interior northeast with a strongly negative NAO. Will see what December brings!

Interesting 18z GFS run keeps Chicago and northern Illinois quite a bit warmer this run. Verbatim, Chicago would be without a freeze through just about the end of the month. The lows phase over the Ohio valley so they cash in over there. Will be fun to see how this plays out.

Finally. Good signals across the board. Remains to be seen how long that cut off low spins out west before sweeping east but a good signal for a widespread winter event to follow during Thanksgiving week. .

Sorry to be redundant…couldn’t delete for some reason

11/24/31 - I know that’s what you meant.