DocATL

Canadian and Euro with similar solutions. So much run to run variance. .

Other concern is that GFS basically puts us in the shredder after the Jan 5/6 system. We will be in purgatory for a bit. .

Canadian looking to suppress with a southern slider and a frigid northwest flow for us. Unfortunately this look has popped up intermittently on model runs and is a very plausible solution. It would mean hoping for a clipper.

Is this because this is just not a pattern that typically produces? Seems like the southeast, east coast, and LES regions are in the crosshairs. Maybe we get more legitimate chances late January?

Great synopsis! Interesting to see how it shakes out.

Euro at least throws us a bone with the godforsaken northwest flow. Better than nothing. The GFS gives us a synoptic snow with much better accumulation to the south. Again, better than nothing. .

Yes just snow. That’s it. Otherwise mild temps will do. I know I’m not getting what I want by any means. It’s the highs and lows of model watching and prognosticating that makes it fun. Obviously it’s colder than Atlanta. The 2.5 inches we got last week would have made many a winter down there.

Oh no…BAM Wx folding. *feigns a shocked look* We’re doomed lol.

I swear it’s comedic.

The EPS is yuck. Mild out west. First 10 days of January don’t look great for snow (right now). Let’s see if GFS folds. Maybe we just need that classic nina look to roll the dice on. EDIT: GEFS trying to fold.

Not saying that’s what will ultimately transpire. In fact it’s highly unlikely to transpire in that exact manner. I’d rather have this than what we had in early December. .

Multiple GFS runs that show snow to the north and northwest of us as well as to the east and southeast. Wish I was making this up. 12z did not like Illinois.

The more intense rains and storm potential look like they may be in the Ohio River valley. I think multiple rounds of light rain events though. The Euro has some intense rain storms barreling through the eastern seaboard. A volatile spring like pattern coming for early January.

Zzzzzzz!!! through hr 252 of GFS and hr 240 of CMC

Yes. Rain prospects do look good through mid January. Maybe we get back in the mix as the next cold pattern relaxes latter half of January. Good opportunities for Ohio valley and northeast. Iowa and Minnesota probably do well. .