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canderson

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Everything posted by canderson

  1. Cell about to hit HBG has a slight hook on radar. I’m surprise it isn’t warmed.
  2. South winds are cranking. Gusting to 28, sustained around 18. The clouds are flying.
  3. Cells with a target for HBG starting to deepen and grow / back build. Edit: it actually might miss just to the north, it has a NE jog a bit.
  4. Just have to see how far west the atmosphere recovers from the earlier destabilizing. The TOR watch south of us had a 40-20 probs which is quite high.
  5. Sun is fully out. All systems should be set to go for rapid cell deepening.
  6. Discrete cells beginning to fire S of Altoona. It’s clearing a bit in HBG. I think we do get some strong t-storms
  7. Damn, Bill Walton died. A college basketball GOAT that likely would’ve been a NBA great had his wheels not gone bad.
  8. T-storm watch hoisted for the state N to S to border State College and east.
  9. No rain reached the ground here in that “line” that just crossed overhead.
  10. T-storm watching coming shortly for this afternoon for basically everyone east of Altoona.
  11. Lots of tiny cels - been years since we’ve had them it seems. It’s raining here now actually
  12. I got .1” from that song loud overnight line. Short range models aren’t looking great for severe today but the sun is out on HBG so I’m not sure I buy the less activity.
  13. A touch but the southern edge along the border s holding strong
  14. Regardless of severe we should get a solid .4” or more.
  15. That’s exotic! Here is a video of a woman caught in the Valley View tornado last night in a car. https://www.fox4news.com/news/tornado-damage-texas-cooke-denton-may-26
  16. We may die tomorrow so cheers edit: I originally posted the wrong pic. Don’t blame beers ….
  17. I’ll be surprised if they don’t put S/E of 95 into ENH tmrw. I don’t see a tornado threat for the forum here - much more a wind threat (which is a lock for this region imo). Any hail would likely be small too here thankfully.
  18. The Celina storm went across one of my best friend’s ranch (all his animals are okay. The neighborhood just north of his land it tracked into is one of newer, well-built homes and the pics show utter devastation
  19. This video from a woman who got caught in her car in the Valley View tornado is insane. Reed would be jealous (and she was much calmer) https://www.fox4news.com/news/tornado-damage-texas-cooke-denton-may-26
  20. Up to 10 dead, 7 alone in Valley View, Texas (including a 2 and 5 year old)
  21. That is awful. I haaaate nocturnal tornados. Ugh
  22. CTP’s disco for Monday SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/... Some fog may again form early tonight. But the invading and thickening clouds and showers/storms due to the first of a few pre-frontal troughs will probably preclude it from getting thick, and the precip may actually bring the visby back up if it does go down. The forcing tonight likely makes a long band of showers/storms cross the area from SW-NE in the evening and first half of the night. More nebulous forcing then exists for 3-6hrs before the next wave of forcing moves in from the west. late night timing is against much thunder with the second batch of precip. That precip will still be crossing the eastern half of the area in the morning/daylight hours. This could stabilize things for the first part of the afternoon there. But, the west will likely have enough breaks in the clouds and moisture to be able to cook up good CAPE for the early aftn, and TSRA will pop up. This third batch of storms is the most likely to produce some severe wx. The SPC SLGT risk covers all the srn half of the CWA for Day2, and CAPE may be <=2000J. Main threat is wind, but 1" hail also a threat. The tor threat is mainly along the MD border where the hodographs get fattest and high mstr will keep the LCLs lowest. PWAT goes above 1.5" (approaching 2") in the eastern half of the area in the late morning and aftn hours. The repeated shots of rain will lead to a risk of flash flooding over much of the area on Monday, but mainly in the east in the aftn. The strong surface low will move northeast across the Upper Great Lakes and into ONT. Two pushes of drier air and a gradual veer to the wind is expected in the evening and overnight. So, some SHRA may linger into the first part of the night, mainly in the far eastern zones.
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