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canderson

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Everything posted by canderson

  1. I haven’t looked today but I imagine a warm nose is around the 500-800mb level which will flip a lot to sleet N of 20
  2. Continual storm suppression is a pattern issue. It isn’t “over” but we’re missing prime climatology
  3. Final call for Dallas: 2.5” accumulated of snow and sleet and .01” freezing rain perhaps. It’ll flip a lot between snow and rain in the am and then snow and sleet later in the afternoon. For Longview: .2” sleet with a tiny bit of snow. Maybe a trace of ice Thursday night. It’ll be mostly a cold, cold rain.
  4. It’s kinda obvious the pattern is entrenched to not be a good winter for us. We had a dry as shit spring, summer and early fall so makes sense.
  5. Nah they held the Super Bowl in a major, major ice storm This will mostly be melted by friday midday.
  6. CTP has underdone wind by 15 mph all day (they still say gust to 25 as it’s constantly 35-40). So tomorrow and Thursday when they have winds in the mid 30s it’ll actually be close to 50. Cool
  7. This makes sense. This is similar to the Valentine’s Day 2007 set up here than gave us some snow and about 5” sleet and tipped with ZR. Much less precip than then but it’s going to be a block of ice come Friday early am for many in DFW I think.
  8. That SW trough must be why. People this week have given CTP a rough time but my god good luck to NWS Ft Worth and Shreveport the next 36 hours.
  9. Hm maybe I looked wrong (was on my phone so possible!). It looked like there's a shot of cold air showing up on other models the GFS doesn't bring down. Regardless, Thursday is going to be a bad day in North Texas.
  10. Thursday will be windier than today, seems certain. Then Saturday we might get even stronger depending on that storm evolution.
  11. Hey @Bubbler86 check out the GFS vs Euro/NAM/Canadian/MS Paint models for Dallas tomorrow and look how much warmer GFS is compared to every other guidance. It's wild.
  12. The NAM is used to that feeling. That GFS run seems like a fairly likely scenario but I’d expect a sleet storm more than straight rain in Dallas given that setup.
  13. So the 0z NAM puts a foot of snow in Dallas Thursday and up to 16” in the northern burbs.
  14. Any tee times available tomorrow morning?
  15. Forecast gusts tonight are 25 mph. Already at 31 mph lol
  16. Won’t subside until Thursday. Gusts up to 45 tmrw.
  17. I did add another .2” - up to 1.6” for the day
  18. That big green band didn’t drop much at all despite its echo. Air must be painful dry
  19. Not here - maybe .1” more. It never fully covered my sidewalk back up
  20. This was quite underwhelming - a 8 min burst and that was it despite green still overhead
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