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canderson

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Everything posted by canderson

  1. I think winds will be stronger - if we did a wind contest I'd put MDT at 58 max gust.
  2. Storm Prediction Center has virtually the entire region (far SE excluded) in slight risk for tomorrow. My grid high for tomorrow is 73, sustained 20-29 mp winds with max gust to 47.
  3. I don’t chase … but if I did I’d sit myself near the 57 and 294 interchange. Looks primed for fireworks.
  4. I’ve talked since last weekend about tomorrow’s severe weather in the Midwest. What’s coming Tuesday for them as modeled is worse than 2011. That system will hit PA next Wednesday, where if timing is right would create strong storms here as it’ll hit our warm sector (highs next Wednesday might hit mid 70s in the LSV).
  5. Ahh I misread their notice (to be fair it’s line 20 lines long) lol
  6. High Wind Watch hoisted for all of MD. CTP will follow suit, which makes sense as this wind event will be the worst we've seen in years and years it appears. Hey that rhymes.
  7. 2017 we had one that ripped all my fascia off. I remember vividly because I couldn't get anyone to fix for a week and the aluminum dangling and hitting the house could be heard probably three streets over. We had to sleep at a friends' place.
  8. I‘m far more worried abut roof shingles and siding blowing off and trees falling down than frisbee golf. Hour and hours of 50-60 mph winds cause a lot of damage.
  9. Curious if CTP puts the rest of the region in a high wind warning or wind advisory. They'll issue headlines later tonight or first thing in the morning. Saturday and Saturday night is going to absolutely suck.
  10. Feels like 27 in Boston. I bet they wished they were in the new Rangers barn.
  11. If anyone wants to storm chase, I'd go to station myself in a southern Chicago suburb for tomorrow afternoon.
  12. Mrs Blizzard about to be woken up in her own blizzard ifyouknowwhatimean
  13. NAM has one of the strongest modeled supercells you really ever see over Chicago Friday. Here wind has gusted to 39. Didn’t expect this tonight.
  14. Chiming in from outside the region. Friday looks like a sure bet for a large swath of severe weather - straight line wind damage specifically. Next Tuesday as you suggest might be even worse a the front is pegged to be more robust. Until the jet ramps down every front is going to spin these storms in roughly same area. Every five days for the first two weeks of April at this point seems like a good bet for a large swath of significant severe weather (if not outright tornadic) in the MS to OH valleys. The setup is ideal for spinning tops. /goes back to lurking for the Friday event to unfold
  15. Pittsburgh’s NWS disco is much, much,,much more detailed about the high wind threat Saturday. They are all in, calling for hurricane force winds out there. A tight pressure gradient and strong southwest winds at all levels along with diurnal mixing will result in another strong wind event. 850 mb winds of 50-60 knots and 700 mb winds up to 70 knots are forecast. NBM deterministic wind gusts are in 50 to 55 knot range across Pittsburgh area with Hurricane Force gusts in the ridges of eastern Tucker County WV. Probability of 48+ knot winds now 50 to 70% in the Pittsburgh metro area. A tad early to issue the High Wind Watch for Saturday but probabilities of damaging gradient winds are certainly on the rise so expect the issuance in the next day or two.
  16. Like all things severe, it can crash down for no expected reasons lol But Friday seems primed for a big outbreak.
  17. The 3k NAM for the MS Valley through the Ohio Valley is WILD for Friday. Serious storms. Very interested to see if SPC issues its largest-ever MOD warning tomorrow. Between spinning tops and the wind shear getting pushed down - Jesus. If timing works out Saturday in PA I’d think sees an enhanced - timing doesn’t look ideal but who knows. Just depends on the front timing. If it can pass through from 2-5 pm all bets are off. Next Tuesday/Wednesday probably is a repeat of Friday/Saturday. Any cold front over the next few weeks unless the jet changes is going to cause major storms. We fly Tuesday afternoon - might not happen. Time will tell!
  18. Hey did your area have any power outages / trees down Saturday? Friend out in Butler is still without power and lost a ton of trees. I know it’s way east but not sure if it got rough up north near Clearfield.
  19. Here is the latest from CTP’s afternoon discussion: Ahead of and after the cold front sweeps through, expect gusty winds to develop thanks to a deepening surface low over Quebec. The wind threat looks formidable with this system and gusts in excess of 40mph appear plausible for most of the area Saturday afternoon.
  20. Gusts look very strong though, it sounds like (50-65 mph) from reading around.
  21. We do get strong winds that aren't mentioned quite a bit, but I think in general it lines up pretty decently.
  22. Anyone have access to the GFS wind product? @MAG5035? Mid Atlantic thread says it is showing winds 60-65 mph Saturday. Which doesn't seem too far from unlikely given what's coming but CTP just mentions 40+ so far.
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